Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés
12 signals across 3 markets · $36,180 tracked · resolves Apr 11, 2026
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés is a La Liga prediction market event covering all three match outcomes: Real Sociedad win, draw, or Alavés win. PolySpotter tracks $36,180 in smart money activity across 12 signals, including sharp-wallet fading, high win-rate sports bettors, and a contrarian cluster moving around the market.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallet fading spike
A proven sharp wallet with a 95% win rate joined coordinated selling into a big price spike, which translates to buying No around 23¢ after Yes ran from 44¢ to 78¢.
$3,975Score: 15.1 - 89% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 89% win rate bought No at 90¢ as the market rapidly broke higher toward resolution, suggesting informed conviction rather than routine flow.
$1,586Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.3 - 95% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.24M profit made a sizable fresh bet, making this wallet worth tracking despite the market moving sharply against the entry.
$4,020Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 10.0 - 3-wallet contrarian cluster
Three wallets piled into No within minutes during a sharp pre-match volume and price swing, creating a coordinated contrarian signal worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
$7,679Score: 9.5 - 89% win-rate sports grinder
A very high-volume serial sports trader with an 89% win rate bought into a market that had already exploded upward, suggesting informed confirmation rather than random flow.
$1,040Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.0 - Sharp sports dip buyer
A high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate across 1,461 resolved markets bought into a sharp 20-point dip on a liquid match market, making this a credible follow signal despite modest size.
$1,090Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new wallet pressing No
A very new wallet with repeat large bets and early profitability just put another meaningful buy into No on a mainstream soccer market.
$1,690Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active and profitable sports trader bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite only moderate standalone signals.
$8,290Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 5.7 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active and profitable cross-market bettor bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a modest but followable signal despite the trade size being small for market liquidity.
$1,991Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 5.1 - Proven sharp buying Draw
A highly proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and strong edge sold No at 70¢, which translates to buying Draw/Yes at 30¢ in a reasonably liquid match market.
$1,515Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa71093…23c4$10,281 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 53% wins
- 0x80cfde…427d$4,020 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xb9e7b6…0365$1,945 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xd087d4…c3ad$1,690 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x46e6bf…d4cd$1,586 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x5ad5c4…37b9$1,515 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,358 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x397e4f…3d84$1,090 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xedf72b…5ac3$1,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Real Sociedad vs. Deportivo Alavés?
This event tracks the market-implied odds for all three outcomes: Real Sociedad win, draw, and Deportivo Alavés win. Odds can move as traders react to team news, form, lineups, and sharp-money activity before kickoff.
What is the smart money doing on Real Sociedad vs. Alavés?
PolySpotter has tracked $36,180 in smart money across 12 signals for this event. Recent alerts include an 89% win-rate sharp, a 95% win-rate sports bettor, a sharp wallet fading a spike, and a 3-wallet contrarian cluster.
Does this event cover just one market or the full match?
This is an event hub covering the full Real Sociedad vs. Deportivo Alavés match market structure. It includes separate child markets for a Real Sociedad win, a draw, and an Alavés win.
When does the Real Sociedad vs. Alavés prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around Saturday, April 11, 2026, based on the result of the La Liga match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Deportivo Alavés.
Why watch prediction-market odds for this La Liga match?
Prediction markets aggregate real-money opinions from traders, making them a useful way to monitor shifting expectations. PolySpotter adds context by highlighting whether sharper or historically successful wallets are buying, fading, or taking contrarian positions.