Event

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

5 signals across 3 markets · $41,990 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Markets (3)

  1. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?3 signals · $35,587 tracked
  2. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?1 signal · $4,990 tracked
  3. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,413 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 19-wallet cluster buying NO

    High-score alert driven by a 19-wallet funded cluster and a serial cross-market trader putting $20k on No, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative despite an 87% hit rate.

    $20,210Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 18.0
  2. Coordinated Yes buyers

    Four wallets bought the same long-shot Yes outcome for $11.7k, including profitable wallets and a repeat new large bettor with related cross-market positioning.

    $11,674Score: 13.0
  3. 83% cross-market whale

    Highly profitable 83% win-rate wallet is making a cross-market thesis on MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin, with $604K positioned across 5 related markets.

    $3,704Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 10.0
  4. Profitable wallets buying breakout

    Four profitable wallets bought Yes together as the market broke sharply higher, suggesting coordinated bullish positioning on MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin before June 2026.

    $4,990Score: 9.0
  5. Profitable bettor caught breakout

    Moderately profitable wallet bought Yes before a major breakout, with price now up sharply and related-market positioning supporting the thesis.

    $1,413Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x69aa9f8847$20,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
  2. 0x71edffd338$3,704 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  3. 0xdc26d77e7d$1,413 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins

More on this event