MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
371 signals across 3 markets · $2,191,124 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2025
This event tracks Polymarket prediction markets on whether MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin holdings by several 2026 deadlines, including May 31, June 30, and December 31. Smart money activity has leaned heavily toward “No,” with sharp clusters and high win-rate bettors buying against a sale, though there have also been coordinated “Yes” buyers.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 9-wallet No cluster
High-conviction one-sided No flow from 9 wallets, including profitable cross-market traders, is fading the market’s sharp move toward Yes.
$38,301Score: 56.7 - Sharp cluster fading rally
Seven wallets are fading a huge Yes rally by buying No, including sharp/serial cross-market bettors with strong historical records, though some Yes sells may be profit-taking.
$11,943Score: 34.0 - 88% winner joins NO cluster
A highly profitable 88% lifetime bettor is buying No alongside a 22-wallet one-sided cluster after a major volume and price move.
$3,169Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 25.8 - Sharp wallet joins No cluster
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet bought No alongside a large one-sided cluster and major volume spike, with the position already moving from 62¢ to 75¢.
$3,239Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 25.0 - Sharp wallets pile into YES
Multiple high-track-record wallets and serial cross-market traders are converging on Yes as the market reprices sharply upward.
$17,891Score: 24.1 - Cross-market Yes cluster
Three wallets are effectively buying Yes, backed by high composite score and cross-market positioning signals, though the size is modest for this liquid market.
$5,973Score: 23.2 - 22-wallet No fade
High-score alert driven by a 22-wallet coordinated No fade with linked funding and a profitable serial cross-market trader, though this wallet was partly unwinding a prior Yes position.
$19,360Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 21.8 - 22-wallet NO cluster
High-conviction NO fade: a profitable serial cross-market trader joined a 22-wallet one-sided cluster after a huge volume and price spike.
$4,479Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 21.8 - 88% winner joins No cluster
A highly profitable 88% lifetime bettor is buying No alongside a 26-wallet one-sided cluster during a major volume spike and sharp repricing.
$2,206Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 21.5 - Sharp cluster buying Yes
A high-score one-sided cluster is buying Yes after a huge price/volume move, with multiple high-win-rate wallets and a new repeat large bettor joining the flow.
$26,541Score: 21.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb3232c…27df$184,700 · 2 markets · 10 alerts
- 0xf284ad…b9f9$147,933 · 2 markets · 17 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x2c251b…a86f$125,048 · 2 markets · 7 alerts
- 0xb10047…6461$123,208 · 3 markets · 37 alerts · 59% wins
- 0xe32f0d…ce26$99,938 · 2 markets · 6 alerts
- 0x0cb16f…dea6$79,190 · 1 market · 8 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x9390a8…07c9$77,931 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xd78b82…66ab$68,635 · 3 markets · 7 alerts · 17% wins
- 0xb3f264…488e$58,888 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x5188fa…c804$47,605 · 3 markets · 11 alerts · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by 2026?
The odds are set by Polymarket traders across the event’s child markets for different deadlines. PolySpotter tracks how those prices move and highlights smart money positioning behind the Yes and No sides.
What is smart money betting on in the MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale markets?
Recent signals show multiple sharp and clustered wallets buying “No,” including an 82% winner-led No cluster and a 19-wallet No cluster. That suggests tracked smart money has recently leaned against MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin by the listed deadlines.
Are any traders betting that MicroStrategy will sell Bitcoin?
Yes. PolySpotter has flagged coordinated Yes buyers, meaning some wallets are positioning for a sale before one of the market deadlines. However, recent notable smart money headlines have been more concentrated on the No side.
When do these MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale markets resolve?
Each child market resolves based on its own deadline, such as May 31, June 30, or December 31, 2026. Resolution is expected to rely on MicroStrategy disclosures, on-chain data, and credible reporting.
How is this different from MicroStrategy stock or Bitcoin price odds?
These markets are not directly predicting MSTR stock price or Bitcoin’s price. They focus specifically on whether MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin holdings before the stated deadlines.