Event

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs

11 signals across 2 markets · $189,580 tracked · resolves May 9, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs is an MLB prediction market event covering both the game winner and the over/under 7.5 total. PolySpotter is tracking $189,580 in smart money across 11 signals, including activity from a 13-wallet funded cluster, profitable bettors backing the Under, and sharp movement toward the Cubs.

ARI
0
16-16
Final
CHC
2
21-12
ARI +141CHC -171O/U 7
Venue
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Attendance
36,907

Markets (2)

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs9 signals · $172,228 tracked
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.52 signals · $17,352 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 13-wallet funded cluster

    High-scoring sports alert driven by a 13-wallet shared-funder cluster and a brand-new wallet making repeat large bets on the same side.

    $3,375Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 12.5
  2. New wallet nailed Cubs move

    Fresh 9-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets joined one-sided Cubs flow before the market moved from 60¢ to 100¢.

    $1,070Score: 11.5
  3. Profitable bettor led Under cluster

    Four wallets put $12.2k on Under in a low-volume MLB total, including a profitable serial sports trader, and the outcome moved from ~60¢ entries to 100%.

    $12,243Score: 10.5
  4. 82% winner backs Cubs

    Proven sports bettor with an 82% historical win rate and $405K profit is buying the Cubs at 61¢.

    $3,036Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0
  5. Profitable repeat new whale

    Strong new-wallet whale signal: this repeat large bettor has already flagged 87 times, is up $477,910, and is buying Cubs at 61¢.

    $3,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 6.0
  6. Elite bettor got early value

    Proven high-volume sports bettor with 72% win rate and $6.8M profit bought Chicago Cubs before a sharp move from 64¢ to 76¢.

    $1,917Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 5.3
  7. New whale backs Cubs

    A 23-minute-old wallet put $151k on the Cubs shortly before game time, driving a major pre-event volume spike despite no track record.

    $151,222Score: 4.5
  8. Sharp MLB bettor buying Cubs

    A highly proven MLB bettor with an 88% record and $425k profit bought Chicago Cubs at 60%, making this a copy-worthy sharp bettor signal despite modest size.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0
  9. Profitable sports sharp on Under

    A highly active profitable sports trader with a 73% lifetime win rate bought $5.1k of Under in a thin MLB totals market.

    $5,110Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0
  10. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Profitable high-volume sports bettor with $865k lifetime profit is buying Cubs at 60%, though the trade size is modest.

    $1,108Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x45c9c7414b$152,292 · 1 market · 2 alerts
  2. 0x36257c1187$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
  3. 0x558f2f1a56$5,110 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
  4. 0x5234c84c4f$3,375 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  5. 0x16bb998492$3,036 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  6. 0xbd14b6d62a$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  7. 0xfe787d0319$1,917 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  8. 0x9c76cdc926$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  9. 0xd48a816e90$1,108 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Diamondbacks vs Cubs prediction market odds?

This event tracks Polymarket odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs, including who wins the game and whether the combined score goes over or under 7.5 runs. Odds can move quickly as traders react to lineups, pitching news, and smart money activity.

What is the smart money betting on in Diamondbacks vs Cubs?

PolySpotter has tracked $189,580 in smart money across 11 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a new wallet that caught the Cubs move, an 82% winner backing the Cubs, and a profitable bettor leading an Under cluster.

Is there an over/under market for Diamondbacks vs Cubs?

Yes. In addition to the game-winner market, this event includes an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs O/U 7.5 market, where traders are betting on whether the total runs scored will be over or under 7.5.

Who are sharp bettors backing in Diamondbacks vs Cubs?

Recent PolySpotter alerts point to notable sharp activity around the Cubs and the Under 7.5. Signals include a profitable repeat new whale, a 13-wallet funded cluster, and a profitable bettor associated with the Under side.

When does the Diamondbacks vs Cubs Polymarket event resolve?

The market is tied to the MLB game scheduled for May 2 at 2:20 PM ET and is expected to resolve after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.