Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners
9 signals across 2 markets · $34,242 tracked · resolves May 13, 2026
The Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners event tracks prediction-market odds for the MLB matchup, including the game winner and Seattle -1.5 spread market. PolySpotter has tracked $34,242 in smart money across 9 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp bettors split between early Braves support, Mariners backing, and underdog buying.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 91% bettor buying underdog
A proven 91% win-rate cross-market bettor joined a small three-wallet Braves buy cluster, though the market has since moved against their entries in a liquid MLB market.
$5,402Score: 12.1 - 91% winner caught Braves early
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% record bought Atlanta Braves at 12¢ before a major move to 32¢.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 9.3 - 93% win-rate sports sharp
Proven sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Seattle -1.5 at 38¢ in a relatively quiet MLB spread market.
$1,252Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - 86% winner backs Mariners
Proven sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $516k profit is buying Seattle at 55¢.
$5,329Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 80% winner backing Atlanta
Proven sports bettor with an 80% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Atlanta at 42¢.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0 - 3-wallet funded cluster
A known 3-wallet funded cluster is putting $6.1k behind Atlanta, though the individual wallet’s long-term edge is modest.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 6.6 - 77% winning sports bettor
A proven sports bettor with a 77% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Seattle, though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.
$1,259Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.1 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface: a profitable high-volume sports bettor is taking a $5.4k contrarian Braves spread position in a relatively thin market after a major Mariners price move.
$5,400Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 3.0 - Sharp MLB bettor buying Braves
Despite a low composite score, this is a $10k Braves bet from a highly profitable sports wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and $619k in lifetime profit.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 0.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x6498f9…8910$5,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$5,329 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x0bfdf8…a4bb$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0xa97482…ef79$2,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x52e3c7…3337$1,259 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x1bc8b6…2f68$1,252 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xa1e49d…4f8a$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
FAQs
What are the Braves vs. Mariners odds on Polymarket?
This event includes markets for the outright winner of Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners as well as the Seattle Mariners -1.5 spread. Odds move as traders buy and sell shares based on injuries, lineups, pitching matchups, and market sentiment.
What is the smart money doing on Braves vs. Mariners?
PolySpotter has tracked $34,242 in smart money across 9 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 91% winner catching the Braves early, an 86% winner backing the Mariners, and an 80% winner backing Atlanta, suggesting sharp action has appeared on both sides.
Are bettors backing the underdog in this game?
One recent signal flagged a 91% bettor buying the underdog, which may indicate value hunting rather than a consensus pick. In prediction markets, underdog buying can reflect price sensitivity if sharp traders believe the market has over-discounted one team.
Does this event include the Mariners spread market?
Yes. In addition to the moneyline-style winner market, this event includes a spread market for Seattle Mariners -1.5, letting traders speculate on whether Seattle wins by at least two runs.
When does the Braves vs. Mariners market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the May 6 MLB game at 4:10 PM ET and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.