Event

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds

5 signals across 2 markets · $124,429 tracked · resolves Jul 11, 2026

This hub tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 4, including both the game winner and the Over/Under 9.5 market. PolySpotter has flagged $4,813 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a 91% win-rate MLB bettor and a 91% win-rate sports sharp.

BAL
8
42-48
Final
CIN
5
40-48
BAL +105CIN -126O/U 9
Venue
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Attendance
33,047

Markets (2)

  1. Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds4 signals · $122,017 tracked
  2. Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.51 signal · $2,412 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial sports whale

    Experienced profitable sports bettor put $69K on the Reds after a major volume spike in a previously quiet MLB market.

    $69,036Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 11.1
  2. 91% win-rate MLB bettor

    Sharp MLB bettor with a 91% win rate and +$107,744 lifetime P&L bought Under 9.5, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

    $2,412Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 9.0
  3. 91% win-rate sports sharp

    Sharp wallet with a 91% record and strong cross-market sports history bought Cincinnati at 53¢ in a relatively small MLB market.

    $2,401Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.0
  4. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Profitable high-volume serial sports bettor placed a $44.5k Reds buy during a major pre-game volume spike.

    $44,529Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 7.0
  5. Profitable sports whale

    A very high-volume profitable bettor bought $6k of Baltimore amid an unusually large pre-game volume spike, making the trade worth surfacing despite only modest signal strength.

    $6,051Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 5.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf6683d5c69$113,565 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 65% wins
  2. 0x526852135d$6,051 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
  3. 0x58b920ee8b$4,813 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 92% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What markets are available for Orioles vs. Reds?

This event includes markets on the game winner, Baltimore Orioles or Cincinnati Reds, plus a total runs market on Over/Under 9.5.

What is the smart money doing on Orioles vs. Reds?

PolySpotter is tracking $4,813 in smart money across this event, with 2 recent signals. Alerts include activity from a 91% win-rate MLB bettor and a 91% win-rate sports sharp.

How do Orioles vs. Reds Polymarket odds work?

Polymarket prices reflect the market-implied probability of each outcome. For this event, traders are pricing both which team will win and whether the game total finishes over or under 9.5 runs.

When does the Orioles vs. Reds market resolve?

The market resolves after the MLB game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until completion; if canceled with no makeup game or if it ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.