Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
8 signals across 2 markets · $43,881 tracked · resolves Apr 25, 2026
The Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians event tracks Polymarket odds for both the game winner and the 7.5 total runs over/under. PolySpotter is monitoring $43,881 in smart money activity across 8 signals, including sharp bettors, high win-rate wallets, and coordinated wallet clusters.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- New wallet leads 4-wallet cluster
Four wallets piled into Cleveland at once, led by a very new repeat bettor already up $6.9k, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the market being liquid.
$4,532Score: 10.5 - 15-wallet funded cluster
A highly active, profitable sports trader from a 15-wallet funded cluster put nearly $7.4k on Under, making this worth surfacing despite the market being liquid and the edge signal coming mostly from cluster behavior.
$7,397Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 10.0 - 89-0 sharp bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 89-for-89 resolved record bought Baltimore at 45¢, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest stake size.
$1,106Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.0 - 99% win-rate bettor
A highly proven sports trader with a 99% win rate and $266k profit is taking Cleveland Guardians at 56¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest stake size.
$2,850Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.0 - Sharp bettor caught a big move
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate bought Cleveland at 67¢ before the price jumped to 82¢, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,284Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 6.4 - 82% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate and over $1.07M in profit just put $15.5k on Cleveland, making this a credible copy-trade despite the liquid market.
$15,480Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new wallet betting big
A very new wallet with early profitability and repeated large bets is adding fresh conviction on the Guardians, making this worth surfacing despite the modest trade size.
$1,018Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.0 - 82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports trader with an 82% win rate and over $1.07M P&L just put $10.2k on the Guardians, making this a credible copy-trade despite the liquid market.
$10,214Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x27f738…44b0$25,695 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x5d1d9c…afd2$7,397 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x36257c…1187$2,850 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$1,284 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xd1e618…1dc1$1,106 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x2dc13c…b33c$1,018 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Orioles vs. Guardians?
This event covers the prediction-market odds for Baltimore Orioles to win, Cleveland Guardians to win, and the O/U 7.5 total runs market. The prices move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and in-game expectations.
What is the smart money doing on Orioles vs. Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $43,881 in smart money across 8 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 15-wallet funded cluster, a new wallet leading a 4-wallet cluster, an 89-0 sharp bettor, a 99% win-rate bettor, and a sharp bettor catching a big move.
Does this event include the over/under market?
Yes. In addition to the moneyline-style market on whether the Orioles or Guardians win, this event includes an O/U 7.5 market for total runs scored in the game.
When does Orioles vs. Guardians resolve on Polymarket?
The event is scheduled around the April 18 MLB game and is listed to resolve by April 25, 2026. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.