Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
8 signals across 1 market · $37,316 tracked · resolves Apr 27, 2026
This event tracks the prediction market for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals MLB game, with traders pricing which team will win. PolySpotter has tracked $37,316 in smart-money activity across 8 signals, including a 14-wallet funded cluster, high win-rate bettors, and a Royals pile-in.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 14-wallet funded cluster
A 14-wallet linked cluster is repeatedly deploying capital from the same funder, and this wallet has a large long-term sample with positive P&L, making the coordinated Royals bet worth monitoring despite a modest single-ticket size.
$1,413Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 9.4 - 96% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 96% win rate and nearly $176k in realized profit is making a fresh $8.5k bet on the Orioles, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
$8,528Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 92% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.77M profit bought the Orioles at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
$7,161Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 8.0 - Proven winner buying momentum
A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor with a 71% win rate bought into a fast-rising side, making this a credible momentum-follow signal despite the liquid market.
$2,984Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 5.2 - 3-wallet Royals pile-in
Three wallets piled into Kansas City Royals at 48-51¢ and the price has already moved to 56%, with one wallet showing a massive long-term profit record.
$6,914Score: 4.1 - Proven sports grinder backs favorite
A high-volume sports bettor with 11k+ resolved bets and a 71% win rate sold Orioles at 17¢, which translates to buying Royals around 83¢, aligning with heavy market movement into the favorite.
$1,768Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.0 - 75% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.67M in profit bought Kansas City Royals at 50¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
$6,612Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 4.0 - 71% win-rate sports grinder
A very active sports bettor with a strong long-term record bought the underdog Orioles at 32¢ after a sharp selloff, making this a reasonable sharp contrarian signal despite only one detection flag.
$1,935Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x38f0b7…2768$8,528 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x1b4d7c…e246$7,161 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x8a6c68…0b3f$6,612 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$3,704 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$2,984 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xaa6801…94a7$1,413 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
FAQs
What are the Orioles vs Royals prediction market odds?
The live odds move as Polymarket traders buy and sell outcomes for the Orioles or Royals to win. This event page tracks the market as a whole, including price movement and smart-money activity around both teams.
What is the smart money doing on Orioles vs Royals?
PolySpotter has flagged $37,316 in tracked smart-money activity across 8 signals. Recent alerts include a 14-wallet funded cluster, a 96% win-rate bettor, a 92% win-rate sharp bettor, and a 3-wallet Royals pile-in.
Are sharp bettors backing the Orioles or the Royals?
Recent signals show notable sharp activity, including proven winners buying momentum and a Royals-focused pile-in from multiple wallets. Check the live market view for which side those positions are currently pushing.
When does the Orioles vs Royals market resolve?
The market resolves after the April 20 MLB game is completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.