Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
6 signals across 2 markets · $95,859 tracked · resolves Apr 29, 2026
This Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals event tracks prediction-market odds for the April 22 MLB matchup, including both the game winner and the over/under 9.5 total runs market. PolySpotter has flagged more than $95,000 in smart money activity, with recent signals pointing to sharp Royals buying, a proven sharp flipping to Kansas City, and notable action from high-performing live bettors.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 97% win-rate live bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% win rate placed a large Under bet just 1.3 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with strong live-betting edge.
$2,437Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 14.5 - Sharp cluster buying Royals
Four wallets piled into the Royals at the same moment, led by a high-performing cross-market trader with a 72% win rate and $6.2M profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
$24,188Score: 11.7 - Profitable serial timer
A proven last-minute sports trader with nearly $196k in profit made a very large buy on Under just seconds before resolution in a thin market, a pattern worth following despite only average raw win rate.
$22,652Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 9.9 - New whale repeat bettor
A very new wallet has already made 11 large bets totaling $263k and just put $37.6k into the Royals, suggesting strong early conviction worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
$37,563Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 9.0 - Proven sharp flips to Royals
A very high-volume, highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate just took a fresh $6.1k position on the Royals after previously closing the other side.
$6,056Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0 - 78% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 78% win rate bought Baltimore at 82¢, and the price has already moved up to 86¢.
$2,963Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9714ab…76ad$37,563 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x5ae14d…9fad$22,652 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$6,056 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xd27cc7…c081$2,963 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xc33a10…3da3$2,437 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Orioles vs. Royals prediction-market odds tracking?
This event covers two related Polymarket markets: which team wins between the Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals, and whether the game total goes over or under 9.5 runs.
What is the smart money doing on Orioles vs. Royals?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show sharp activity around the Royals, including a sharp cluster buying Kansas City and a proven sharp flipping to the Royals. The event has also seen action from a new whale repeat bettor and a profitable serial timer.
How much smart money has been tracked on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $95,859 in smart money across the Orioles vs. Royals event, with 6 smart money signals across the game-winner and total-runs markets.
When does the Orioles vs. Royals market resolve?
The market is tied to the MLB game scheduled for April 22 at 2:10PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
Why watch this Polymarket event instead of just a sportsbook line?
A prediction market shows where traders are putting capital in real time. PolySpotter adds another layer by highlighting smart money behavior, including sharp bettors, whales, and high win-rate live traders moving into or out of positions.