Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
12 signals across 4 markets · $151,295 tracked · resolves Aug 19, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB game on August 12 at 1:40 PM ET. The event tracks the game’s possible outcomes—an Orioles win, a Twins win, or a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled or ends tied—while PolySpotter highlights trader activity, including a sharp serial bettor backing Baltimore.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Orioles buying cluster
A large three-wallet Orioles cluster and 36x volume spike are notable, supported by one highly profitable bettor, though the price has since fallen and some positions appear hedged.
$36,259Score: 7.2 - Three profitable wallets pile into Over
Three highly profitable wallets coordinated $37,101 of Over buys amid a 324.8x volume spike, with the market rising from roughly 53-54% to 62%.
$37,101Score: 6.6 - Sharp bettor joins Twins cluster
Three wallets deployed $16.5K toward Minnesota, including a highly profitable bettor, alongside an 18.5x volume spike despite the outcome trading down from several entries.
$16,510Score: 5.9 - 94% winner buys the Over
A highly proven sports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $2,500 Over bet at 54%.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Sharp serial bettor backs Baltimore
A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $11,000 bet on Baltimore at 50%.
$11,000Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.4 - Serial trader makes $24k Over bet
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a $23.8k Over bet that accounts for most market volume and coincided with an extreme volume spike.
$23,847Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.1 - Profitable serial bettor buys Over
A highly experienced sports-market trader with a 65% win rate and $1.2M profit made a concentrated $8.3K Over bet before the price rose 12%.
$8,349Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced trader with 1,487 resolved bets and substantial profits is backing Minnesota in a market experiencing a 305x volume surge.
$1,240Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.9 - Profitable bettor bought Twins at 37¢
A highly active bettor with 5,883 resolved trades, $3.45M profit, and a meaningful edge bought Minnesota at 37¢ before the price rose to 58¢.
$1,079Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.6 - Proven high-volume sports bettor buys Over
A highly experienced and profitable sports trader is buying Over at 43% despite the alert's modest composite score.
$1,009Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$23,847 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$13,479 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 65% wins
- 0xd38ad2…8d26$11,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$8,349 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xabf543…cfeb$1,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xdc41c3…dd7e$1,009 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Orioles vs. Twins prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds for the Orioles vs. Twins game change as traders buy and sell positions. Check the live event page for current implied probabilities for a Baltimore or Minnesota win.
What is the smart money doing on Orioles vs. Twins?
PolySpotter is tracking $11,000 in smart money across this event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a sharp serial bettor backed the Baltimore Orioles.
When does the Orioles vs. Twins market resolve?
The market resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until it is played; if it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?
This event covers the Orioles vs. Twins game winner, with positions for Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins. It also specifies a 50-50 resolution for a canceled game with no makeup or a tie.