Event

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

7 signals across 4 markets · $113,599 tracked · resolves Sep 23, 2026

Follow the Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets prediction market for the September 16 MLB matchup. The event tracks the win probabilities for both teams, with PolySpotter monitoring $1,848 in smart money and one signal from a serial bettor with a reported 96% win rate.

BAL
7
75-78
Final
NYM
1
69-83
BAL -103NYM -117O/U 9
Venue
Citi Field, Queens
Attendance
25,324

Markets (4)

  1. Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets3 signals · $98,712 tracked
  2. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets1 signal · $6,901 tracked
  3. Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.52 signals · $5,539 tracked
  4. Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.51 signal · $2,448 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Four-wallet Orioles buying surge

    Four wallets committed nearly $22,000 to Baltimore at 48%, backed by a 375x volume spike and a profitable high-volume bettor.

    $90,453Score: 7.1
  2. Perfect-record bettor leads Over cluster

    Three wallets coordinated on Over, including a 21-0 bettor with exceptional historical edge and two traders adding to existing Over positions.

    $3,889Score: 6.9
  3. 93% winner scaling into Over

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to an Over position at 46¢ in a low-volume MLB totals market.

    $2,448Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6
  4. Perfect-record bettor scaling into Over

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a perfect 21-0 record and strong historical edge is adding to an Over position at 55 cents.

    $1,650Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.6
  5. 96% win-rate serial bettor

    A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing New York Mets position at 56%.

    $1,848Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.4
  6. 95% win-rate bettor buys Orioles

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $6,410 Orioles purchase at 45%.

    $6,410Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  7. Profitable serial trader scales into No

    A profitable serial cross-market trader added $6,901 to an existing No position in an exceptionally thin market, buying before No rose from 49% to 71%.

    $6,901Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x5ad49c6866$6,901 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
  2. 0x16bb998492$6,410 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  3. 0x78b0099f1a$2,448 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  4. 0x554d21eb95$1,848 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  5. 0xd4fb9a4c2a$1,650 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Orioles vs. Mets Polymarket odds?

The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of a Baltimore Orioles or New York Mets win. Odds can change as traders react to new information, so check the event page for current prices.

What is smart money doing in the Orioles vs. Mets market?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,848 in smart money across the event and one signal from a serial bettor with a reported 96% win rate.

What outcomes are traded for Orioles vs. Mets?

This event covers the two possible team wins: Baltimore Orioles or New York Mets. If the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.

When does the Orioles vs. Mets prediction market resolve?

The market resolves after the September 16 game is completed. If postponed, it remains open until the game is played; the listed resolution deadline is September 23, 2026.