Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
10 signals across 1 market · $132,097 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026
The Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction market tracks which team traders expect to win their May 4 MLB game. PolySpotter is monitoring $132K+ in smart money activity across the event, including sharp favorite buying, whale backing, and signals from profitable sports bettors.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 5-wallet linked sports cluster
Five wallets put $56.6k on the Yankees in the same direction, with linked funding and a pre-game volume spike, though wallet track records are mixed and the market is fairly liquid.
$56,638Score: 10.9 - 71-0 sharp buying favorite
Exceptional 71-0 bettor with strong profit record is buying Yankees despite this being a liquid MLB market.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - New profitable sports whale
A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profitability is buying the Orioles underdog side, though the market is highly liquid.
$4,200Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 65% record and $2.4M lifetime profit bought the Orioles underdog during a sharp pre-game volume spike.
$3,292Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0 - New whale backing favorite
A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets is putting another $37K on the Yankees, though the market is liquid and the wallet track record is still very short.
$37,392Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Orioles despite the market later moving against them, making this a track-record-driven follow rather than a momentum signal.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 4.0 - 66% winner buying Yankees
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 66% resolved win rate and nearly $951k profit bought $7.4k of Yankees at 69¢.
$7,444Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 65% long-run record bought $6.7k of Orioles amid a large pre-game volume spike.
$6,691Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.0 - 93% winner backs Yankees
Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved-bet record is making a meaningful $6.7k Yankees buy, though this is a single-signal alert in a liquid market.
$6,700Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 2.0 - 97% winner backing Yankees
Elite sports bettor with a 97% tracked win rate is making a $6.7k Yankees bet, supported by a long cross-market history and strong profitability.
$6,690Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe3aa83…4830$37,392 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x949542…9a27$9,983 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$7,444 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xa938d0…3bc8$6,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x0767aa…36b0$6,690 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x4c0abb…a9be$4,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x09af20…9728$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
FAQs
What are the Orioles vs Yankees prediction market odds?
The market odds reflect the crowd-implied probability of either the Baltimore Orioles or New York Yankees winning the game. On PolySpotter, you can track how those odds move alongside smart money activity and major wallet signals.
What is the smart money doing on Orioles vs Yankees?
PolySpotter has tracked 10 smart money signals and more than $132,000 in activity on this event. Recent alerts include a 5-wallet linked sports cluster, a 71-0 sharp buyer backing the favorite, and multiple profitable sports bettors entering the market.
Are whales betting on the Orioles or Yankees?
Recent alerts show whale and sharp-bettor interest around the favorite, including a new whale backing the favorite and a profitable sports whale entering the market. The event hub lets you see whether that activity continues or reverses before first pitch.
When does the Orioles vs Yankees market resolve?
This MLB prediction market resolves after the Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.