Event

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

12 signals across 5 markets · $114,574 tracked · resolves Aug 22, 2026

Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB game, with contracts covering a win by either team. PolySpotter is tracking $1,300 in smart money and a recent signal showing an elite bettor scaling into the Orioles.

TB
3
77-53
Final
BAL
1
63-68
TB +101BAL -108O/U 8.5
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
27,745

Markets (5)

  1. Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays4 signals · $53,354 tracked
  2. Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.54 signals · $33,768 tracked
  3. Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.52 signals · $22,874 tracked
  4. Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)1 signal · $2,298 tracked
  5. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays1 signal · $2,280 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Four-wallet linked Orioles cluster

    Four linked wallets deployed nearly $28,000 toward Baltimore, alongside a major volume spike and broad profitable trading histories, although the market has since fallen from their entries.

    $27,865Score: 8.0
  2. 89% winner leads Over cluster

    Three wallets, including a highly profitable 89% winner, coordinated $25.6K in Over positions at 48¢, creating a meaningful directional signal despite two wallets already holding Over.

    $25,592Score: 7.5
  3. Sharp bettor adds heavily to Under

    A proven 78% bettor with a substantial historical edge added $19,006 to Under at 64¢ in an exceptionally thin market.

    $19,006Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.8
  4. Elite bettor scaling into Orioles

    A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Orioles position at 42 cents.

    $1,274Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4
  5. Elite serial bettor backs Tampa Bay

    A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,298 Rays bet despite the market moving slightly against it.

    $2,298Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  6. 93% win-rate serial sports bettor

    A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and 445 resolved positions made a concentrated $5,444 Under bet in an MLB totals market.

    $5,444Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
  7. 91% win-rate bettor buys No

    A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge made a large concentrated bet on No in a relatively thin first-inning market.

    $2,280Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4
  8. Elite bettor scaling into Orioles

    A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Orioles position at 42 cents.

    $1,300Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4
  9. Sharp bettor adds to Over

    A highly experienced bettor with 504 resolved trades and a strong edge added nearly $3,900 to Over despite the market later falling to 40%.

    $3,868Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.9
  10. Whale scales into Orioles

    A large, heavily one-sided Orioles position coincided with a 69.7x volume spike and a sharp odds move, though the wallet's mixed prior positions and average performance reduce conviction.

    $22,915Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x526852135d$22,915 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
  2. 0x04e6843914$22,874 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
  3. 0x16bb998492$5,444 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  4. 0xdc41c3dd7e$2,732 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 74% wins
  5. 0xb8c842d8a4$2,574 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
  6. 0x161a7f4103$2,298 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  7. 0x9c76cdc926$2,280 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Orioles vs. Rays prediction market odds?

The Polymarket odds show the market’s implied probability of a Baltimore Orioles or Tampa Bay Rays win. Check the live market for the latest prices, which can change as bettors react to news and lineup updates.

What is smart money doing in the Orioles vs. Rays market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,300 in smart money across this event and one signal: an elite bettor scaling into the Orioles.

Who can win the Orioles vs. Rays Polymarket market?

The market resolves to Baltimore Orioles if the Orioles win or Tampa Bay Rays if the Rays win. If the game ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.

When does the Orioles vs. Rays prediction market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed, with a listed resolution deadline of August 22, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET. If the game is postponed, it remains open until completion; a canceled game with no makeup resolves 50-50.