Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
7 signals across 2 markets · $58,671 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles event tracks prediction-market odds for the April 26 MLB matchup, including the game winner and the over/under 7.5 runs market. PolySpotter has tracked $58,671 in smart money activity across 7 signals, including an Orioles push from linked wallets, an 84% win-rate sports bettor, and a hyperactive new whale.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable new live-betting wallet
A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large betting activity and early profits made another sizable live sports bet just 1.4 minutes before resolution, a pattern worth tracking despite the small dollar size.
$1,306Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.7 - Linked 4-wallet Orioles push
A linked 4-wallet cluster put $48k behind Baltimore in a coordinated burst, and one of the main wallets is materially profitable despite mixed results across the group.
$48,025Score: 9.2 - 84% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with an 84% win rate is buying Baltimore into a major pregame volume spike, making this a copy-worthy signal despite the modest bet size in a liquid market.
$1,260Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.4 - Hyperactive new whale
A 5-day-old wallet has already made 165 unusually large bets totaling over $500k flagged volume, and this fresh $1.6k buy on Red Sox is already 7 points in the money.
$1,625Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 7.9 - 84% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate sold Baltimore at 39¢, which converts to buying Boston around 61¢, and that side has since moved to 84¢.
$1,044Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 7.7 - Sharp serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with 4,081 resolved bets bought Over at 84¢ before a sharp move to 100%, making this a strong momentum-follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,194Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 7.4 - Sharp bettor ahead of spike
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 71% win rate and $2.55M profit bought Baltimore before a large pregame volume surge, and the price has already moved 10 points in their favor.
$4,218Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x32ed51…f960$5,412 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x323448…8b1a$2,303 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x949542…9a27$1,625 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$1,306 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Red Sox vs Orioles prediction market odds?
The event includes Polymarket odds for both the outright winner and the O/U 7.5 total runs market. Prices can move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, live game action, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Red Sox vs Orioles?
PolySpotter has tracked $58,671 in smart money across 7 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a linked 4-wallet Orioles push, activity from an 84% win-rate sports bettor, and a hyperactive new whale.
Does this event include the over/under market?
Yes. Alongside the Red Sox vs Orioles winner market, this event also includes Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5, letting traders price whether the game total finishes over or under 7.5 runs.
When does the Red Sox vs Orioles market resolve?
The market is tied to the April 26 MLB game scheduled for 1:35 PM ET and is expected to resolve after the final result is known. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.