Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
14 signals across 4 markets · $314,930 tracked · resolves Jun 5, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks betting-style prediction-market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians, focused on the game total at O/U 8.5. PolySpotter has tracked $13,857 in smart money activity, including a recent linked sports cluster buying the Over, giving traders a signal on where sharper money may be leaning.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked MLB cluster buying Guardians
Five wallets, including three linked by funding, bought $27k of Cleveland pre-game during a 356x volume spike, making this coordinated MLB flow worth surfacing despite mixed wallet P&L.
$27,059Score: 11.4 - 95% winner backs Boston
Surface because a highly profitable 95% sports bettor joined a 3-wallet one-sided Boston position amid a major pre-game volume spike.
$5,327Score: 10.5 - 95% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports wallet with a 95% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Cleveland despite the market moving slightly against the entry.
$1,455Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 10.4 - Linked wallets pile into Over
Three wallets, including two linked by funding, bought $13.9k of Over in a coordinated MLB totals move, with profitable high-volume bettors involved.
$13,857Score: 8.6 - 92% sharp sports bettor
Elite sharp sports wallet with a 92% historical win rate and $800k profit is buying Cleveland -1.5 at 36¢.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 97% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 97% documented win rate and strong cross-market history is buying Over 7.5 at 55¢.
$1,187Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 8.0 - Profitable sports whale
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with 1,404 resolved bets bought $57k of Boston at 47¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
$57,375Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 6.6 - 97% sharp last-minute bettor
Elite sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Over 8.5 just 1.7 minutes before resolution, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.
$1,175Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 6.3 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a large sample bought Cleveland at 50¢ amid an 89x pre-game volume spike.
$5,054Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 5.4 - 93% MLB sharp buying Cleveland
Sharp sports wallet with a 93% record and +$908k P&L bought Cleveland, supported by a major pre-game volume spike.
$5,502Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa5ea13…d96a$245,375 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x72d815…5213$5,502 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xbca08c…9705$5,054 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x7a8885…41cc$2,555 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x8b887c…8f33$2,362 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 97% wins
- 0x2117ae…5c26$2,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x204f72…5e14$1,883 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xb38f12…5048$1,455 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Red Sox vs Guardians prediction-market odds?
This event centers on the Red Sox vs Guardians MLB matchup and its O/U 8.5 total market. The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied chance of the game finishing over or under 8.5 runs.
What is the smart money doing on Red Sox vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $13,857 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert showing a linked sports cluster buying the Over. That suggests at least some tracked sharp wallets are leaning toward a higher-scoring game.
What outcomes are being traded for this event?
The listed child market is Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5, where traders are pricing whether the combined runs in the game will go over or under 8.5.
When does the Red Sox vs Guardians market resolve?
The market is tied to the scheduled MLB game on May 29 at 7:10 PM ET and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until played; if canceled with no makeup or it ends in a tie, resolution may be 50-50.