Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
14 signals across 3 markets · $237,049 tracked · resolves Aug 21, 2026
Follow Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction-market odds for the August 14 MLB matchup. The event includes a 7.5-run over/under market, with $42,780 in tracked smart money and recent high-confidence bets favoring the Over.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Pirates buying surge
Three wallets committed nearly $73,000 to Pittsburgh at 60¢ amid an 809x volume spike, with the price already rising to 66¢ and two participants showing substantial profits.
$72,958Score: 6.8 - 99% winner scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and 45-point edge is adding $8,640 to an Over position at 54 cents amid a sharp pre-event volume surge.
$8,640Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 6.2 - 99% win-rate bettor adds to Over
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,940 to an existing Over position in an otherwise quiet MLB totals market.
$5,940Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.9 - 93% winner adds to Under
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate added $34,757 to an existing Under position at 54%.
$34,757Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 99% win-rate bettor adds to Over
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,940 to an existing Over position in an otherwise quiet MLB totals market.
$2,700Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - 99% win-rate bettor backs Pittsburgh
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,680 bet on Pittsburgh at near-even odds.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - 84% win-rate bettor adds to Pirates
A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Pittsburgh position at 48¢.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial bettor caught Over breakout
A highly active, profitable bettor bought Over at 79 cents before a 25-point price breakout, providing meaningful corroboration despite only a 60% win rate.
$1,247Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 4.8 - Profitable serial trader buys Pirates
A highly profitable serial trader made a fresh $5.9K Pirates position amid an extreme 877x volume spike, with the price already rising from 60¢ to 66¢.
$5,886Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.4 - Proven bettor makes $28K Over bet
A highly active, profitable sports bettor placed a concentrated $28.2K Over position in an exceptionally quiet market, with the price already rising from 52¢ to 56¢.
$28,200Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2c3350…0563$65,926 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$34,757 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$34,085 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 65% wins
- 0xe55aab…ecf7$17,280 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 99% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$3,586 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xaa7789…15a5$2,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xd3faf1…a26c$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$1,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xbca08c…9705$1,247 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xdc41c3…dd7e$1,230 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Red Sox vs. Pirates Polymarket odds?
Polymarket odds for the Red Sox vs. Pirates event are shown through the listed 7.5-run over/under market. Odds can change as traders react to lineups, pitching news, and other game information.
What is smart money betting on in this game?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show smart money favoring the Over 7.5 total, including activity from a 99% win-rate bettor and a reported $28,000 Over bet.
How much smart money is tracked on Red Sox vs. Pirates?
PolySpotter tracks $42,780 in smart money across the event, with three signals recorded.
When does the Red Sox vs. Pirates prediction market resolve?
The game is scheduled for August 14 at 6:40 PM ET. If postponed, the market remains open until the game is played; a canceled game without a makeup or a tie resolves 50-50.