Event

Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

13 signals across 6 markets · $203,320 tracked · resolves Aug 30, 2026

Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game on August 23 at 4:15 PM ET. The market trades the two possible winners, with a recent smart-money alert showing a 94% winner scaling into Arizona.

CIN
3
62-68
Live
9
2-2, 2 out
ARI
5
68-62
CIN +131ARI -140O/U 8.5
Venue
Chase Field, Phoenix
Weather
111° Mostly sunny

Markets (6)

  1. Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks5 signals · $118,340 tracked
  2. Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.54 signals · $76,395 tracked
  3. Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)1 signal · $2,530 tracked
  4. Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.51 signal · $2,248 tracked
  5. Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)1 signal · $1,961 tracked
  6. Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)1 signal · $1,845 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp wallets double down on Arizona

    Six wallets, including two exceptionally successful bettors, concentrated $50,341 on Arizona despite the market moving sharply against them.

    $50,341Score: 10.0
  2. 94% sharp leads Under cluster

    A four-wallet Under cluster includes a highly proven 94% bettor and serial cross-market trader, with the market repricing from roughly 47% to 74%.

    $38,948Score: 9.1
  3. 94% win-rate bettor buys Under

    A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and 43-point edge is making a large fresh Under wager while taking a correlated position across three markets.

    $20,645Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 7.6
  4. 96% winner scales into Reds

    A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and $417,575 in gains is adding $18,224 to an existing Reds position amid an 82.8x volume spike.

    $18,224Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.5
  5. 96% winner leads Reds cluster

    A proven 96% win-rate bettor and two additional wallets jointly bought $20.5K of Cincinnati at 42–43¢ amid a 62.7x volume spike.

    $20,486Score: 7.0
  6. 94% winner scales into Arizona

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate added another $28,174 to an existing Arizona Diamondbacks position at 56%.

    $28,174Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
  7. 94% win-rate sharp backs Arizona

    A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $2,530 bet on Arizona at 38%.

    $2,530Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
  8. 99% win-rate serial bettor

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge is buying Arizona at 57%.

    $1,115Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4
  9. 95% win-rate serial bettor backs Arizona

    An exceptionally proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.77M profit made a substantial fresh bet on Arizona despite subsequent market movement toward Cincinnati.

    $1,845Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  10. Profitable new wallet scaling Arizona

    A two-day-old repeat bettor with a 4-0 record and $13,773 profit added heavily to Arizona at 63¢ before it rose to 98%, though the existing position means this is not entirely fresh conviction.

    $1,961Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x16bb998492$51,349 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 94% wins
  2. 0xfe542841d6$18,224 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  3. 0xfe787d0319$15,592 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  4. 0x526852135d$2,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
  5. 0x86b637041b$1,961 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  6. 0x161a7f4103$1,845 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  7. 0x224a89a3d5$1,211 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  8. 0xc3c3b3eec8$1,115 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds on Polymarket?

Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances of the Cincinnati Reds or Arizona Diamondbacks winning. Check the live event page for the latest prices and probability changes.

What is the Reds vs. Diamondbacks prediction market?

This market covers the outcome of the MLB game between Cincinnati and Arizona. It resolves to the winning team; a canceled game without a make-up or a tie resolves 50-50.

What is smart money betting on in the Reds vs. Diamondbacks market?

PolySpotter tracked one smart-money signal for this event: a headline reported that a 94% winner scaled into Arizona. This indicates notable activity favoring the Diamondbacks, but it is not a guarantee of the result.

When does the Reds vs. Diamondbacks market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed. If postponed, it remains open until the game is played; the listed resolution deadline is August 30, 2026 at 8:15 PM UTC.