Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
13 signals across 4 markets · $99,993 tracked · resolves Aug 16, 2026
Follow prediction-market odds for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB game on August 9 at 12:15 PM ET. The event tracks the game winner and whether total scoring goes over or under 9.5 runs, with $4,129 in smart money tracked and a profitable serial trader buying the Over.

Markets (4)
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals5 signals · $46,986 tracked
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.55 signals · $32,191 tracked
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals2 signals · $19,277 tracked
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)1 signal · $1,539 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads coordinated Nationals buying
Three wallets deployed $23,173 toward Washington, including a proven bettor with a 78% win rate, alongside a 40.7x volume spike and coordinated position flips.
$23,173Score: 6.7 - 91% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate is adding $15,000 to an already substantial No position in an extremely thin first-inning market.
$15,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 6.2 - 96% win-rate sharp backs Washington
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,539 bet on Washington to cover at 38%.
$1,539Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.8 - 91% winner adds to No
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding $4,277 to an existing No position in a thin first-inning runs market.
$4,277Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.6 - 94% winner scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $24,000 to an existing $50,000 Over position in a thin market.
$24,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.5 - 94% winner scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $24,000 to an existing $50,000 Over position in a thin market.
$1,230Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 94% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,764 Under wager in a thin, wide-spread MLB total market.
$1,764Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 92% win-rate sports bettor buys Over
A highly proven sports-market bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,067 Over bet.
$1,067Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor scaling into Nationals
A proven high-volume bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Nationals position that has already moved from 67¢ to 74¢.
$6,607Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial market trader buys Reds
A highly experienced profitable trader bought Cincinnati at 56¢ amid an extreme pre-event volume spike and sharp price decline, though the position is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,900Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16bb99…8492$25,230 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x408fe7…b2f4$19,277 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0xa7590c…1119$10,903 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x04e684…3914$6,607 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x1d1ade…0df6$4,403 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$4,129 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x161a7f…4103$1,764 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xa08455…bb99$1,539 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x6157d5…9fb4$1,067 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Reds vs. Nationals prediction-market odds?
The Polymarket event covers Cincinnati winning, Washington winning, and the Over/Under 9.5 total-runs market. Current probabilities and prices are shown on the live event page.
What is the smart money doing on Reds vs. Nationals?
PolySpotter is tracking $4,129 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert shows a profitable serial trader buying the Over 9.5 runs outcome.
Who is favored in the Reds vs. Nationals game?
The live Polymarket prices indicate how traders currently assess Cincinnati's chances against Washington. Check the event page for the latest game-winner probabilities.
When does the Reds vs. Nationals prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the game is completed, with an expected resolution by August 16, 2026. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the winner market resolves 50-50.