Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
10 signals across 2 markets · $178,335 tracked · resolves Aug 4, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB game, with outcomes covering a win by either team. PolySpotter tracks $46,530 in smart money across the event, including a recent alert showing a 93% win-rate bettor adding to the Reds.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Reds buying surge
Three substantial wallets coordinated $15,010 of Reds buying during a 110x volume spike, with two proven profitable traders adding to existing positions.
$15,010Score: 6.0 - 93% win-rate bettor adds to Reds
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to a large Cincinnati Reds position at 43¢.
$46,530Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.9 - 99% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $3,480 Guardians purchase.
$3,480Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - Proven bettor scaling into Reds
A highly active sports trader with a 77% win rate and $104,460 profit is adding to a Reds position despite the market moving against them.
$1,552Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.3 - Proven bettor scaling into Reds
A highly active sports trader with a 77% win rate and $104,460 profit is adding to a Reds position despite the market moving against them.
$1,103Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader buys Guardians
A highly profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $32.9K Guardians position during an extreme pre-event volume spike and has already moved from 53-54% to 56%.
$32,867Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader buys Reds
A highly active, profitable serial trader placed a fresh $10,000 Reds position during a 29.4x volume spike, though the wallet's edge over its typical winning price is modest.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.7 - Profitable trader scales into Reds
A profitable serial trader is adding $18,000 to an existing Reds position amid an extreme 288x pre-event volume spike, though the trader's 60% win rate is only modestly above average.
$18,000Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 3.4 - Profitable serial trader buys Reds
A highly active, profitable serial trader placed a fresh $10,000 Reds position during a 29.4x volume spike, though the wallet's edge over its typical winning price is modest.
$3,145Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial trader scaling Guardians
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader added $46.6K to an existing Guardians position during an extreme volume spike, despite the market later falling from 53% to 46%.
$46,648Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 2.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x224a89…a3d5$79,516 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 65% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$46,530 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$18,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$13,145 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$3,480 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x335d3d…8c00$2,655 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Guardians vs. Reds prediction-market odds?
The event tracks the market-implied probabilities for the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds to win the game. Check the live PolySpotter page for current odds and changes.
What is smart money doing in the Guardians vs. Reds market?
PolySpotter is tracking $46,530 in smart money across the event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a bettor with a 93% win rate added to the Reds.
When will the Guardians vs. Reds prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the scheduled game on July 28 at 7:10 PM ET is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the game is played; a canceled game without a makeup or a tie resolves 50-50.
What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?
This event covers one MLB game market with two possible winning outcomes: Cleveland Guardians or Cincinnati Reds.