Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
8 signals across 3 markets · $15,943 tracked · resolves Aug 16, 2026
Follow the Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox Polymarket prediction market for live win probabilities on both MLB teams. PolySpotter is tracking $2,538 in smart money, including signals from a 98% win-rate serial bettor and a 91% win-rate sharp bettor backing Cleveland.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Five-wallet White Sox surge
Five wallets coordinated $6.8K into the White Sox across entries from 50¢ to 80¢, driving a 32-point repricing, with two profitable high-volume bettors among them.
$6,817Score: 7.6 - 94% winner buying Over
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.54M profit made a fresh $1,158 Over bet despite the market moving down to 42%.
$1,158Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 94% win-rate serial sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,624 Guardians bet in a market that has moved 17% in their direction.
$1,624Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 91% win-rate sharp backs Cleveland
A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,350 Guardians position.
$1,350Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - 98% win-rate serial bettor backs Cleveland
An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and 298 resolved positions is taking a fresh position on Cleveland at 54%.
$1,188Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.4 - Cross-market bettor buying Over
A profitable high-volume bettor made a fresh 39¢ Over bet while positioning across three correlated markets, though the overall track record is only moderately predictive.
$1,054Wallet win rate: 49%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial sports trader buys Under
A highly experienced, profitable sports trader made a concentrated Under bet that has already moved from 48% to 55%, with the trade representing most of the recent volume.
$1,400Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.4 - Profitable bettor behind Under breakout
A highly experienced, profitable bettor re-entered Under alongside a sharp 32-point breakout, making this a meaningful directional signal despite the near-market-price entry.
$1,353Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x161a7f…4103$2,782 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,353 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$1,350 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x021c7d…232f$1,188 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x3dfb15…abaf$1,054 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
FAQs
What are the Guardians vs. White Sox prediction-market odds?
The market tracks the implied probabilities of a Cleveland Guardians win and a Chicago White Sox win. Check PolySpotter for the latest live odds and probability changes.
What is smart money betting on in this game?
Both recent smart money signals are backing the Cleveland Guardians. They include a 98% win-rate serial bettor and a 91% win-rate sharp bettor, with $2,538 tracked across the event.
When does the Guardians vs. White Sox market resolve?
The market resolves after the game is completed. It is scheduled for August 9 at 2:10 PM ET and may remain open if the game is postponed; it resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie.
What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?
The event covers the two game outcomes: Cleveland Guardians win or Chicago White Sox win. The child market resolves to the winning team after the MLB game.