Event

Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros

9 signals across 3 markets · $130,992 tracked · resolves Jun 27, 2026

Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros is an MLB prediction market for the June 19 matchup, with traders pricing the chances of either team winning. PolySpotter is tracking $8,475 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal that an elite bettor backed Cleveland.

CLE
1
41-36
Live
7
1-2, 0 out
HOU
2
36-42
CLE +109HOU -132O/U 8.5
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Weather
89° Mostly cloudy

Markets (3)

  1. Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros7 signals · $124,735 tracked
  2. Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.51 signal · $4,906 tracked
  3. Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)1 signal · $1,350 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 98% sharp buys Cleveland

    Elite sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate and +$835k P&L placed $58.6k on Cleveland at 48¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

    $58,560Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 12.3
  2. 98% win-rate sports sharp

    A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought $15.8k of Cleveland at 48¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.

    $15,776Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 12.0
  3. 99% win-rate MLB sharp

    Surface this because an extremely profitable 99% win-rate wallet is buying Cleveland despite the market being liquid and the bet size modest.

    $1,129Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0
  4. Proven sports sharp

    Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved win rate and $93.9k lifetime profit made a contrarian Cleveland spread bet in a thin MLB market.

    $1,350Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0
  5. 98% winner backing Cleveland

    A highly profitable 98% win-rate bettor put over $22k on Cleveland, supported by one-sided cluster flow and a 145x pre-event volume spike.

    $31,088Score: 6.7
  6. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history made a sizable Under bet representing over half the recent market volume.

    $4,906Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 3.0
  7. 93% winner buying MLB

    Surface despite the weak alert score because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit buying Cleveland at 49¢.

    $1,600Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 1.0
  8. Profitable sports whale breakout

    A highly profitable high-volume sports wallet bought $8.1k of Houston at 86¢ during a major price breakout.

    $8,107Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 1.0
  9. Elite bettor backs Cleveland

    Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 93% resolved win rate and $1.8M profit, now buying $8.5K of Cleveland around 48¢.

    $8,475Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 1.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x89dd49f662$74,336 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 99% wins
  2. 0x38f0b72768$10,075 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
  3. 0x526852135d$8,107 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
  4. 0x462d51ce9b$4,906 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  5. 0xbc5b063f6a$1,350 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
  6. 0x09af209728$1,129 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros odds on Polymarket?

This event tracks the prediction-market odds for the Guardians and Astros to win their MLB game. The live market price reflects what traders currently believe each team’s win probability is.

What is the smart money doing on Guardians vs. Astros?

PolySpotter has tracked $8,475 in smart money on this event, with a recent alert showing an elite bettor backing the Cleveland Guardians.

Can I see which team sharp bettors are backing?

Yes. PolySpotter highlights notable activity from high-performing wallets, so you can see whether smart money is moving toward Cleveland or Houston as the game approaches.

When does the Guardians vs. Astros market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.