Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
8 signals across 2 markets · $57,108 tracked · resolves May 9, 2026
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics is an MLB prediction market event covering both the game winner and the total runs market at O/U 10.5. PolySpotter is tracking $57,108 in smart money across 8 signals, including alerts that a 95% winner, a sharp bettor cluster, and high-volume sports bettors have backed the underdog.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% winner backs underdog
High-edge sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Athletics despite the market moving against them afterward.
$1,468Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.6 - Sharp cluster backs underdog
Three wallets bought Athletics around 40¢, including a bettor with a strong 78% record, though the position is modest for this liquid MLB market and has since moved against them.
$4,588Score: 9.3 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% resolved win rate and $6.8M profit bought $13.5k of Cleveland in a liquid MLB market.
$13,517Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.4 - 71% winner caught move early
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Cleveland at 78¢ before the market moved to 96¢, supported by a volume spike and rapid price action.
$2,966Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.9 - High-volume sports bettor
A high-volume sports bettor with a 67% resolved record and positive lifetime P&L is taking a $25k position on Athletics at 49¢.
$24,990Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 5.9 - 71% winner buying the dip
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% resolved win rate bought Cleveland after a sharp price drop, making this a follow-worthy dip entry despite modest size.
$1,169Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long track record is taking a $7.1k position on Cleveland at 52¢.
$7,111Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0 - 92% winner on thin total
A highly successful sports bettor with a 92% record bought Over in a thin MLB totals market with a bet far larger than recent volume.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf1528f…64aa$24,990 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$13,517 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$7,111 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$4,135 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x016582…8235$1,468 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$1,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics?
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the Guardians vs. Athletics game winner, plus a separate over/under 10.5 runs market. Prices can move quickly as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and sharp betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Guardians vs. Athletics?
PolySpotter has tracked $57,108 in smart money across 8 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 95% winner backing the underdog, a sharp cluster also backing the underdog, and a profitable serial sports bettor entering the market.
Is there an over/under market for Guardians vs. Athletics?
Yes. In addition to the winner market, this event includes a Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics O/U 10.5 market, where traders can bet on whether the combined final score will go over or under 10.5 runs.
Why are sharp bettors backing the underdog?
The alerts suggest some successful and high-volume sports traders may see value on the underdog relative to the current market price. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it can indicate where experienced bettors believe the odds may be mispriced.
When does the Guardians vs. Athletics market resolve?
The market is tied to the MLB game scheduled for May 1 at 9:40 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.