Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
4 signals across 1 market · $56,508 tracked · resolves May 9, 2026
The Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics Polymarket event tracks market-implied odds for which team will win this MLB game. PolySpotter has flagged $56,508 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including sharp interest and whale backing on the underdog Athletics.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp MLB cluster on Athletics
Three wallets bought Athletics together, including two highly profitable serial sports bettors with 67–72% win rates and multimillion-dollar lifetime profits.
$6,349Score: 8.1 - New whale backing underdog
Very new wallet with repeat large-bet flags has put $40.7k on Cleveland as part of $192k total flagged activity, though price has moved against the entry.
$40,738Score: 5.0 - Profitable sports regular caught move
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Cleveland before a sharp 15-point move amid a 19x pre-game volume spike, though the current price is already far above their entry.
$1,737Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.5 - 82% winner backs underdog
Despite a weak automated signal, the wallet’s 82% resolved win rate and +$405k P&L make this MLB underdog bet worth surfacing.
$7,684Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 0.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x45c9c7…414b$40,738 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x16bb99…8492$7,684 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xc0ff6a…9953$1,737 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What are the Guardians vs Athletics prediction market odds?
This event reflects Polymarket odds on whether the Cleveland Guardians or the Athletics will win the game. The odds move as traders buy and sell shares on each outcome before the market resolves.
What is the smart money doing on Guardians vs Athletics?
PolySpotter has tracked $56,508 in smart money activity across this event. Recent alerts point to a sharp MLB cluster on the Athletics, a new whale backing the underdog, and an 82% winner also supporting the underdog side.
Who are bettors backing in this MLB prediction market?
Recent smart money signals have leaned toward the Athletics, despite their underdog status. These alerts include activity from a profitable sports regular and a whale-sized position.
When does the Guardians vs Athletics market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the May 2 MLB game and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open until completion; if canceled with no make-up game or ending in a tie, it resolves 50-50.