Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
8 signals across 2 markets · $225,236 tracked · resolves Oct 10, 2026
The White Sox vs. Guardians Polymarket event tracks the outcome of their October 3 MLB game, with the market resolving to Chicago or Cleveland based on the winner. PolySpotter has tracked $1,160 in smart-money activity and one signal, including an alert noting a trader with a 91% win rate across markets.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 72% winner joins three-wallet Cleveland buy
Three wallets bought Cleveland for $13.7K, including a proven bettor with a 72% win rate and nearly $600K in profit.
$14,239Score: 6.8 - Three-wallet White Sox buying surge
Three wallets put $23.3K into the White Sox as volume surged and the price jumped, with one participant showing a strong profitable track record.
$19,554Score: 6.5 - 91% winner with serial cross-market record
A proven high-performing bettor with a 91% win rate and extensive cross-market activity bought Cleveland at 58¢.
$1,160Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.4 - New whale repeatedly adding Cleveland
A very new wallet is repeatedly making exceptionally large Cleveland bets and added another $139.6K to an already substantial position, though its two resolved wins are too few to establish a track record.
$139,583Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial trader backs Cleveland
A proven high-volume trader with a 72% win rate and nearly $600K in profit is backing Cleveland in a liquid MLB market.
$7,148Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.6 - Whale building a live-game Under position
A roughly $7.9K Under position was built in a thin market and has moved favorably, though the wallet's high lifetime profit is not matched by a win rate above its average winning entry odds.
$19,359Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.7 - Profitable serial bettor backs Cleveland
A highly profitable serial trader with a large verified track record placed a $19,999 bet on Cleveland, despite no meaningful price move yet.
$19,999Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.4 - Profitable serial bettor backs Cleveland
A highly profitable serial trader with a large verified track record placed a $19,999 bet on Cleveland, despite no meaningful price move yet.
$4,195Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x11fe63…41b4$139,583 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$24,194 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0xd1ed12…d7cb$19,359 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xaa7789…15a5$7,148 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xd47dda…322b$1,160 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the White Sox vs. Guardians prediction-market odds?
The market prices can change as traders buy and sell. Check the live Polymarket odds on this page for the current implied probabilities of a Chicago or Cleveland win.
What is smart money doing in the White Sox vs. Guardians market?
PolySpotter tracks $1,160 in smart-money activity and one signal for this event. A recent alert highlighted a trader with a 91% win rate across markets; the alert headline alone does not specify which team they favor.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The event covers the game winner: Chicago White Sox or Cleveland Guardians. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
When does the White Sox vs. Guardians market resolve?
The game is scheduled for October 3 at 1:00 p.m. ET. If postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; its listed resolution deadline is October 10, 2026.