MLB Home Run Derby 2026: Winner
3 signals across 1 market · $10,729 tracked · resolves Jul 13, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks who will win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 13, 2026. The current listed child market focuses on whether Kyle Schwarber will win, with PolySpotter tracking $5,885 in smart money activity and a recent sharp bettor signal fading the Yes side.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 81% winner backs YES
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Yes on Schwarber despite the market now trading below their entry.
$1,244Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.3 - Sharp serial bettor fading Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate is adding a $5.9k No position against Schwarber winning the derby.
$5,885Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.4 - Sharp serial bettor adding
Profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved record is adding a meaningful Yes position on a thin MLB Derby market.
$3,600Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3cd63e…18e4$5,885 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x060f34…5a9d$3,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$1,244 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby odds on Polymarket?
The event hub shows live prediction market pricing for the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby winner market, including the listed Kyle Schwarber outcome. Prices move as traders react to player participation, form, injuries, and public information before the contest.
Is smart money backing Kyle Schwarber to win the Home Run Derby?
Recent PolySpotter activity shows one smart money signal, with a sharp serial bettor fading the Yes side on Kyle Schwarber. That suggests at least one tracked trader is positioning against Schwarber winning at current market prices.
How much smart money is being tracked on this event?
PolySpotter is currently tracking $5,885 in smart money activity across the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby winner event.
When does the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby on July 13, 2026. It resolves to the player who wins, while a listed player’s market can resolve No if that player becomes unable to win under the competition rules.