Event

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

13 signals across 2 markets · $147,979 tracked · resolves Apr 29, 2026

This Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians event tracks prediction-market odds for the April 22 MLB matchup, including the game winner and the over/under 8.5 total. PolySpotter has tracked $147,979 in smart-money activity across 13 signals, with recent alerts showing both a 3-wallet Astros pile-in and a 3-wallet Cleveland surge.

HOU
2
10-16
Final
CLE
0
14-12
HOU +139CLE -168O/U 8
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
15,722

Markets (2)

  1. Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians10 signals · $127,307 tracked
  2. Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.53 signals · $20,673 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 3-wallet Astros pile-in

    Three wallets piled nearly $93k into Houston Astros at 41¢ during a major volume spike, including a proven cross-market bettor and a brand-new wallet, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor to 60¢.

    $93,193Score: 14.6
  2. New wallet betting at the buzzer

    A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and hit this live MLB market seconds before resolution, a pattern consistent with a real-time edge worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.

    $5,500Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 12.5
  3. New wallet betting at the buzzer

    A brand-new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just bought Under with $3.5k less than a minute before this live MLB market resolved, a pattern that suggests a real-time edge worth watching.

    $3,462Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 10.0
  4. 3-wallet Cleveland surge

    Three wallets put $51k on Cleveland in minutes during an extreme volume spike, led by a profitable whale making a concentrated $43.7k buy at 59¢.

    $5,612Score: 8.1
  5. 98% win-rate sharp bettor

    A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and over $1.0M in profit is taking a fresh $4.9k position on Cleveland in this MLB market.

    $4,936Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.0
  6. New whale pressing Under

    A brand-new wallet has repeatedly made large bets totaling over $19k and just put another $4.3k into the Under, suggesting unusual conviction despite having no resolved track record yet.

    $4,260Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.3
  7. 74% win-rate sports bettor

    A proven high-volume sports trader with a 74% win rate bought Cleveland at 56¢ during an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a notable sharp contrarian entry even though the price has since moved against them.

    $3,947Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 6.5
  8. Profitable serial sports bettor

    A high-volume serial sports trader with 441 resolved bets and $505k profit just made a $12.9k buy on Over that exceeded the market’s prior 24h volume, making this a credible conviction signal despite only moderate composite score.

    $12,951Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.8
  9. 93% win-rate bettor

    A bettor with an exceptional 93% win rate and strong edge is backing the Astros at 44¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

    $1,966Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.0
  10. 53-0 sharp sports bettor

    A bettor with a perfect 53-for-53 resolved record and strong edge just bought Houston Astros at 41¢, making this a sharp sports bet worth watching despite the modest size.

    $1,408Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18a6fac8d3$13,222 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 83% wins
  2. 0x1b4d7ce246$12,951 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  3. 0x0eb75b1f17$9,406 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 56% wins
  4. 0x36257c1187$4,936 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
  5. 0x32ed51f960$2,963 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
  6. 0xd27cc7c081$2,324 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
  7. 0x44b637672a$1,966 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  8. 0xca4e92f97e$1,408 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Astros vs Guardians prediction-market odds?

The event includes markets for which team wins the game and whether the total runs go over or under 8.5. Live Polymarket prices reflect the crowd-implied odds as traders react to lineups, pitching news, and in-game information.

What is the smart money doing on Astros vs Guardians?

PolySpotter has tracked $147,979 in smart-money activity across this event. Recent signals include a 3-wallet Astros pile-in, a 3-wallet Cleveland surge, multiple buzzer-time bets, and activity from a bettor flagged with a 98% win rate.

Does this event include the over/under market?

Yes. In addition to the Astros vs Guardians game-winner market, this event also includes an O/U 8.5 market for the total number of runs scored in the game.

When does the Astros vs Guardians market resolve?

The market is scheduled around the April 22 game and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the makeup game; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.