Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
9 signals across 3 markets · $89,570 tracked · resolves Sep 25, 2026
Follow the Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction market for the September 18 MLB matchup at 6:40 PM ET. The market covers both game outcomes, with PolySpotter tracking $1,591 in smart money and an alert showing a 91% win-rate bettor adding to the Pirates.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp three-wallet Over cluster
Three wallets concentrated $6,017 on Over, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional historical records, making this a strong coordinated directional signal despite the market’s adequate liquidity.
$6,017Score: 6.8 - Sharp bettor scaling into Under
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a concentrated $20,000 Under bet that vastly exceeds recent market volume.
$20,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.6 - 91% win-rate bettor adds to Pirates
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Pittsburgh position at 64 cents.
$1,591Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.4 - 87% winner joins Pirates cluster
Three wallets committed $13,019 to Pittsburgh, including an exceptional 87%-win-rate bettor, though two were adding to existing positions and the market is already liquid.
$13,019Score: 4.8 - Serial sharp scaling into Pittsburgh
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate is adding to a sizable Pirates position amid a major volume spike.
$1,585Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.5 - Profitable bettor scales into Pirates
A highly profitable serial trader added $29,700 to an existing Pirates position, creating a meaningful conviction signal despite the absence of a formal sharp-bettor alert.
$29,700Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.4 - Profitable bettor caught Royals move
A highly profitable, experienced bettor made a concentrated Royals wager during an extreme pre-event volume spike, and the price has since risen 12 percentage points.
$5,825Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - Proven bettor backs Pirates
A highly experienced bettor with a 66% win rate and $9.7M lifetime profit made a concentrated Pirates purchase amid a 33x volume spike.
$6,833Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 1.4 - Sharp bettor scaling into Under
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a concentrated $20,000 Under bet that vastly exceeds recent market volume.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x26b469…b8a9$29,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x8a8685…4998$25,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$12,658 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xd47dda…322b$1,591 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x2396ba…9485$1,585 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Royals vs. Pirates prediction-market odds?
The latest implied odds for a Royals or Pirates win are shown on the PolySpotter event page and can change as traders update their positions.
What is the smart money betting on in Royals vs. Pirates?
A recent PolySpotter alert reports that a bettor with a 91% win rate added to the Pirates. This is one tracked signal, not a guarantee of the game’s result.
Who is favored in the Royals vs. Pirates Polymarket market?
The favored team is the outcome with the higher current market probability. Check the live event prices for the latest market view of Kansas City and Pittsburgh.
When does the Royals vs. Pirates market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open; if it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.