Event

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros

10 signals across 3 markets · $92,440 tracked · resolves Jul 30, 2026

Track the Polymarket prediction market for the Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros MLB game on July 22 at 8:10 PM ET. The event trades the two possible winners, with $1,002 in tracked smart-money activity and a recent signal from a 98% win-rate serial bettor backing Miami.

MIA
2
52-51
Final
HOU
5
50-54
MIA -107HOU -112O/U 8
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
26,099

Markets (3)

  1. Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.52 signals · $48,660 tracked
  2. Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros7 signals · $42,430 tracked
  3. Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.51 signal · $1,350 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp bettor leads four-wallet Marlins cluster

    A four-wallet Miami cluster includes a highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate at near-even odds, alongside a major volume spike and $16,133 of concentrated buying.

    $10,372Score: 7.9
  2. 98% win-rate serial bettor buys Miami

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial edge bought Miami at 48%, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

    $1,002Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.8
  3. 85% win-rate serial bettor buys Over

    A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and 30-point edge bought Over at 45% despite the market now pricing it at 28%.

    $1,350Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.6
  4. 85% win-rate serial bettor

    A highly proven bettor with an 85% win rate and $258,316 profit made a sizable Astros position, though the market has since moved against the entry.

    $7,186Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.6
  5. Proven sharp backing Marlins

    A highly proven bettor made a fresh $2,000 underdog wager, though the market has since moved sharply against it to 2%.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.4
  6. 99% win-rate baseball bettor

    An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and large edge is making a fresh $3,600 Over bet in a liquid MLB totals market.

    $3,600Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4
  7. Sharp bettor backs Houston

    A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $11.1K bet on Houston at 53%.

    $11,130Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.4
  8. 91% win-rate serial sports bettor

    A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,400 purchase of Miami at 48%.

    $2,400Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.4
  9. Sharp bettors backed the Over

    Three wallets placed $45,060 on Over, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional historical win rates, though the largest wallet has a poor record and prior exposure.

    $45,060Score: 4.9
  10. Profitable serial trader adds to Marlins

    A profitable serial cross-market trader added $8,340 to an existing Marlins position amid a 16.6x volume spike and 19.7% price rise.

    $8,340Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.6

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xd38ad28d26$11,130 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  2. 0xde496ffe85$8,536 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 85% wins
  3. 0xaa778915a5$8,340 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
  4. 0xc3c3b3eec8$3,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  5. 0x9c76cdc926$2,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
  6. 0xd3faf1a26c$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  7. 0xa08455bb99$1,002 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Marlins vs. Astros odds on Polymarket?

Polymarket prices the Miami Marlins and Houston Astros as separate outcome contracts. The implied odds can change as traders buy and sell, so check the live market for current pricing.

What is the smart money doing in the Marlins vs. Astros prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,002 in smart-money activity across this event and one signal: a serial bettor with a reported 98% win rate bought Miami.

Who can win the Marlins vs. Astros Polymarket market?

The market resolves to Miami Marlins if Miami wins or Houston Astros if Houston wins. If the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.

When does the Marlins vs. Astros market resolve?

The market remains open until the game is completed if it is postponed. The listed resolution deadline is July 30, 2026 at 12:10 AM UTC.