Event

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres

10 signals across 3 markets · $54,439 tracked · resolves Sep 26, 2026

Track the Polymarket prediction market for the Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for September 18 at 9:40 PM ET. The market trades the two game outcomes, with a recent smart-money alert showing 95% of winner-backed activity favoring the San Diego Padres.

MIA
2
76-78
Final
SD
8
85-69
MIA +169SD -206O/U 7.5
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Attendance
42,765

Markets (3)

  1. Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres7 signals · $42,974 tracked
  2. Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.51 signal · $7,500 tracked
  3. Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.52 signals · $3,965 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Four-wallet Padres buying cluster

    Four wallets, including consistently profitable high-volume bettors, simultaneously bought $6.1K of the Padres, creating a meaningful coordinated sports signal despite the market being liquid.

    $7,147Score: 6.8
  2. 91% win-rate bettor adds to Miami

    A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Miami position amid an extreme volume spike.

    $1,167Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.9
  3. Elite bettor backs the Under

    A highly proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,027 Under bet despite the market moving against it.

    $1,027Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.4
  4. Three-wallet Marlins buying cluster

    Three wallets committed nearly $8,000 to Miami as the price rose 17%, with participation from highly active profitable sports traders.

    $10,383Score: 5.2
  5. Serial sharp bettor buys Under

    A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and $1.8M profit is making a fresh $2,937 Under bet at even odds.

    $2,937Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.7
  6. Sharp serial bettor adds to Padres

    A highly experienced bettor with an 86% win rate and documented 16% edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Padres position at 66%.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.7
  7. Volume spike before Padres surge

    A $4,063 Padres position coincided with a 28.7x volume spike and a sharp 24-point price move, although the wallet's long-term record is not especially sharp.

    $4,063Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.8
  8. Profitable serial bettor backs Marlins

    A highly profitable serial cross-market trader made a fresh $1,154 Marlins bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite the price subsequently falling from 37% to 32%.

    $1,154Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 2.4
  9. Sharp bettor adds to Under

    A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate added $7,500 to an Under position in an exceptionally thin MLB total market.

    $7,500Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 1.7
  10. 95% winner backs San Diego

    A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $5.3M profit made a concentrated $17,059 bet on San Diego at 65%.

    $17,059Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 0.2

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x16bb99…8492$17,059 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  2. 0xbbf379…aa3a$8,527 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 88% wins
  3. 0x526852…135d$4,063 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
  4. 0x10a6fa…4d8b$2,937 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
  5. 0x6055af…5fde$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
  6. 0xa08455…bb99$1,167 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
  7. 0x224a89…a3d5$1,154 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Marlins vs. Padres prediction-market odds?

The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied chances of a Miami Marlins or San Diego Padres win. Check the event page for current prices and changes before the game.

What is smart money betting on in Marlins vs. Padres?

PolySpotter tracks $17,059 in smart-money activity for this event. Its recent alert shows 95% of winner-backed activity favoring the San Diego Padres.

What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?

This event contains a winner market for the Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres. The market resolves to the winning team after the completed game.

When does the Marlins vs. Padres market resolve?

The game is scheduled for September 18 at 9:40 PM ET. If postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if canceled without a makeup game or tied, it resolves 50-50.