Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
9 signals across 2 markets · $19,418 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians, with trading focused on the game total at O/U 7.5. PolySpotter has flagged one smart money signal so far, with a high-accuracy sports bettor taking the Over.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable sports sharps piled in
Three wallets bought Twins at 20¢ together, led by two highly profitable serial sports traders, and the market has already repriced to 42¢ after a sharp move.
$4,395Score: 12.5 - Profitable serial sports sharp
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Minnesota Twins early at 20¢, alongside one-sided flow and a major price move to 48¢.
$1,280Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 10.9 - Profitable sports mover
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Minnesota at 20¢ before a sharp move to 48¢, with same-side flow from other wallets confirming momentum.
$2,112Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 9.9 - One-sided Guardians flow
Three wallets bought Cleveland into a fast-moving MLB market, including one highly profitable sports-sized wallet, though the trade is currently underwater versus the latest price.
$5,730Score: 8.2 - 82% sports cross-market sharp
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 82% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Cleveland at 55¢ in a liquid MLB market.
$1,102Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.6 - Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced cross-market sports trader with a 73% record and $232k profit bought Minnesota before a sharp move to 100%.
$1,068Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved history bought Cleveland at 55%, though the market has since moved against them to 50%.
$1,361Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 4.6 - 96% winner backing Cleveland
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% record bought Cleveland at 53¢, making this a copy-worthy sharp-wallet signal despite the modest stake.
$1,130Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.0 - 95% sports bettor on Over
Proven sharp sports wallet with a 95% record and strong profits is buying Over 7.5 at 54¢.
$1,240Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbca08c…9705$3,473 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$1,280 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x9a4cf0…1f30$1,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x39201b…23e7$1,130 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x18a6fa…c8d3$1,102 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x558f2f…1a56$1,068 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Twins vs Guardians prediction market odds tracking?
This event hub tracks the available Polymarket market for Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians, currently centered on whether the game total finishes Over or Under 7.5 runs.
What is the smart money betting on for Twins vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,240 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal from a 95% sports bettor backing the Over 7.5.
Is this a moneyline market or an over/under market?
The child market listed for this event is an Over/Under 7.5 market, so traders are pricing the combined run total rather than just the game winner.
When does the Twins vs Guardians market resolve?
The market is tied to the scheduled MLB game on May 9 at 6:10 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie under the rules, it may resolve 50-50.