Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
8 signals across 2 markets · $63,686 tracked · resolves Apr 28, 2026
This event hub tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets, including both the game winner and the over/under 7.5 runs market. PolySpotter has flagged $63,686 in smart-money activity across 8 signals, including a 4-wallet Twins cluster and high win-rate sports bettors entering the market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet Twins cluster
Four wallets, including two linked by funding source, piled $35k into the Twins at 40-41¢ in a coordinated burst, and several of the wallets have long profitable track records across thousands of markets.
$35,284Score: 18.8 - 83% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 83% win rate and $1.23M in profits bought the Twins at 40¢ during a major pregame volume surge.
$11,696Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.1 - 92% win-rate bettor
Surface this because a wallet with an exceptional long-term record is making a fresh $4.6k bet on Over at 47¢, and its cross-market activity suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
$4,625Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 8.0 - 91% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $915k in profit is buying the Twins at 41¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest ticket size.
$1,007Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 8.0 - Sharp wallet buys price crash
Three wallets piled into the Mets as the price collapsed, including one bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.8M profit, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
$3,437Score: 7.1 - 83% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 83% win rate and $1.23M P&L is buying Minnesota at 40¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size in a liquid market.
$2,803Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor backs Twins
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $311k profit bought the Twins at 39¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
$3,829Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.0 - 92% winner bought early
A bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.8M profit bought the Mets at 46¢ before the market collapsed to 6%, making this a sharp but likely stale value signal worth noting.
$1,006Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 2.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x27f738…44b0$14,499 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x1b4d7c…e246$5,631 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 71% wins
- 0xedf01e…1e2a$3,829 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x987069…b9d3$1,007 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
FAQs
What markets are available for Twins vs. Mets on Polymarket?
This event includes markets for the game winner, Minnesota Twins or New York Mets, plus a total runs market on over/under 7.5.
What is the smart money doing on Twins vs. Mets?
PolySpotter has tracked $63,686 in smart-money activity across this event, with 8 signals including a 4-wallet Twins cluster, several 83% to 92% win-rate bettors, and a sharp wallet buying after a price crash.
How should I read the Twins vs. Mets prediction-market odds?
Polymarket prices can be read as implied probabilities for each outcome. For this event, traders are pricing both which team wins and whether total runs finish over or under 7.5.
When does the Twins vs. Mets market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the April 21 game and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until it is played; if canceled with no make-up game or tied, it resolves 50-50.
Why track sharp bettors for Twins vs. Mets?
Sharp-wallet activity can help show where experienced or historically successful bettors are taking positions, especially when clusters of wallets or high win-rate sports bettors move into the same MLB market.