Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals
8 signals across 3 markets · $35,075 tracked · resolves May 13, 2026
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals is an MLB prediction-market event covering the game winner, the over/under 9.5 total, and the Twins -1.5 run spread. PolySpotter is tracking $35,075 in smart money across 8 signals, including notable activity on the Nationals and Under from high-performing sports wallets.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 89% winner joins Under cluster
Surface: three-wallet Under cluster includes a highly profitable 89% lifetime bettor and coincides with a massive pre-event volume spike at even-money odds.
$10,546Score: 12.2 - 99% winner backs Nationals
Elite tracked bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $344k profit is buying the Nationals in a liquid MLB market.
$2,303Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - Perfect-record sports sharp
Surface: this is a proven sports bettor with an extraordinary 80-0 resolved record buying Minnesota at 52¢.
$1,147Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - Profitable trio buying Nationals
Three profitable wallets clustered into Washington with $7.6K during a 33x pre-game volume spike, though the market is liquid and the price has already moved off the best fills.
$7,605Score: 7.5 - 3-wallet funded Under cluster
A 3-wallet funded cluster has put about $9.5k behind Under, and this wallet’s 59¢ entry has already moved to 67¢, though the trader’s long-term record is only modest.
$1,815Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 6.6 - Recurring 3-wallet Under cluster
A recurring 3-wallet funded cluster is taking the Under, but the signal is moderate because the market is fairly liquid and the lead wallet’s track record is only slightly profitable.
$3,726Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 6.6 - 86% winner backs Nationals spread
A proven profitable sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate made a $3.9k Nationals spread bet that was large relative to recent market activity.
$3,934Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 2.0 - Elite sports bettor buying favorite
Despite a low composite score, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has an exceptional 98% resolved win record and is making a meaningful fresh MLB bet.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 1.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0bfdf8…a4bb$5,541 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 51% wins
- 0x36257c…1187$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xa9a6bc…0009$3,934 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x021c7d…232f$2,303 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x09af20…9728$1,147 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Twins vs. Nationals?
This event tracks prediction-market pricing for multiple Twins vs. Nationals outcomes, including the moneyline winner, O/U 9.5 runs, and Minnesota -1.5 spread. Odds can move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and sharp betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Twins vs. Nationals?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show several sharp-wallet signals around this game, including a 99% winner backing the Nationals and a profitable trio buying Nationals positions. There is also clustered activity on the Under, including an 89% winner joining an Under cluster.
Is there sharp betting on the over/under 9.5?
Yes. Multiple alerts point to smart money interest in the Under 9.5 market, including a 3-wallet funded Under cluster and participation from a high-win-rate trader. That does not guarantee the result, but it highlights where notable wallets are concentrating exposure.
Which markets are included in this Twins vs. Nationals event?
The event includes three related markets: the outright game winner between the Minnesota Twins and Washington Nationals, the total runs market set at O/U 9.5, and the run spread market for Minnesota Twins -1.5.
When does the Twins vs. Nationals market resolve?
The market resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.