New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
7 signals across 2 markets · $61,631 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
The Polymarket event for New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians tracks the market’s expected winner for the August 4 MLB game. PolySpotter is monitoring $2,000 in smart money, including a recent sharp-money move scaling into Cleveland.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Mets buying cluster
Three wallets deployed $26,280 on the Mets during an extreme volume spike, including a highly profitable serial trader, making this a meaningful directional signal despite one wallet adding to an existing position.
$26,280Score: 6.4 - Perfect-record bettor adds to Over
A highly profitable sports bettor with 102 wins from 102 resolved positions is adding to an Over position at 49 cents.
$1,850Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.8 - 96% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and exceptional edge is making a fresh $1,000 bet on the Mets at 44%.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 99% winner buys Mets underdog
A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying the Mets at 42 cents.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - 93% winner scaling into Mets
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $26,400 to an existing Mets position at 44%.
$26,400Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.4 - Proven sharp scaling into Cleveland
A highly profitable bettor with 304 resolved trades and a substantial edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Cleveland position.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.7 - Proven sharp scaling into Cleveland
A highly profitable bettor with 304 resolved trades and a substantial edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Cleveland position.
$2,002Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16bb99…8492$26,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x962149…0a73$4,002 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$2,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x4e9ced…1fca$1,850 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xa08455…bb99$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Mets vs. Guardians prediction-market odds?
The event tracks the market-implied chances of a New York Mets win versus a Cleveland Guardians win. Check the live PolySpotter event page for current odds and price changes.
What is smart money betting on in the Mets vs. Guardians market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money across this event and one signal showing proven sharp traders scaling into Cleveland.
What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?
The event covers the two game-winner outcomes: New York Mets or Cleveland Guardians. If the game ends in a tie, is canceled without a makeup game, or otherwise qualifies under the market rules, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Mets vs. Guardians prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the game is completed. If postponed, it remains open until the game is played; the listed resolution deadline is August 11, 2026 at 10:40 PM ET.