Event

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

10 signals across 3 markets · $113,486 tracked · resolves Aug 26, 2026

See Polymarket odds for the upcoming New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB game, with the market covering either team winning and a 50-50 resolution for a tie or canceled game. PolySpotter tracks $43,398 in smart money across the event, including a recent four-wallet Orioles conviction cluster.

NYY
5
71-55
Final
BAL
3
61-66
NYY -105BAL -102O/U 9
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
26,453

Markets (3)

  1. New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles6 signals · $74,198 tracked
  2. New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.51 signal · $21,251 tracked
  3. New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.53 signals · $18,037 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. New whale-led Yankees cluster

    Five wallets concentrated $31.9K into the Yankees at 51%, including a profitable new repeat bettor, despite the market falling to 40%.

    $17,679Score: 7.9
  2. Four-wallet Orioles conviction cluster

    Four wallets committed $43.4K to Baltimore at 48¢, including a highly profitable 91% winner, creating a strong coordinated signal despite substantial market liquidity.

    $46,278Score: 7.7
  3. Three-wallet Under cluster with proven winners

    Three bettors, including two highly profitable sports traders, jointly bought $12.8K of Under amid a 69x volume spike.

    $21,251Score: 7.0
  4. Profitable serial bettor backs Over

    A highly experienced serial sports trader with a 77% win rate and substantial lifetime profit made a fresh $2,335 Over bet amid a major volume spike.

    $2,335Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.5
  5. 95% win-rate serial sharp

    A highly proven serial trader with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge bought the Yankees well below the current market price.

    $1,164Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  6. 95% win-rate serial bettor buys Over

    An exceptionally proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial historical edge made a fresh $1,013 Over bet, despite the market subsequently moving lower.

    $1,013Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  7. 92% winner scaling into Yankees

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate bought the Yankees at 37%, adding to an existing position before the market moved to 56%.

    $1,110Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
  8. Profitable serial MLB bettor

    A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market bettor made a concentrated $3,077 Orioles position despite the market currently pricing them at only 44%.

    $3,077Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.9
  9. Sharp bettor scales into Under

    A proven, profitable bettor with an 84% win rate added $14.7K to an Under position amid a major volume spike.

    $14,689Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 3.5
  10. Profitable MLB bettor scaling into Yankees

    A proven bettor with a 70% win rate and $402,713 profit is adding to an existing Yankees position after entering well below the current price.

    $4,890Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x1c38791bfa$14,689 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
  2. 0xaa778915a5$4,890 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  3. 0x224a89a3d5$3,077 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  4. 0x04e6843914$2,335 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
  5. 0x161a7f4103$2,177 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
  6. 0x038566acaf$1,110 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Yankees vs. Orioles prediction-market odds?

The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied probabilities for a Yankees win or an Orioles win. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as trading activity and game information develop.

What is smart money betting on in the Yankees vs. Orioles market?

PolySpotter tracks $43,398 in smart money across this event. The latest alert identified a four-wallet Orioles conviction cluster, signaling concentrated activity favoring Baltimore.

When is the Yankees vs. Orioles game?

The game is scheduled for August 19 at 6:35 PM ET. If postponed, the market remains open until the game is played.

How does the Yankees vs. Orioles Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to the Yankees if New York wins and to the Orioles if Baltimore wins. If the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.