Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
11 signals across 2 markets · $59,274 tracked · resolves Jul 5, 2026
This event tracks the prediction market for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB game, where traders are pricing which team will win. PolySpotter has flagged $1,116 in smart money activity, including a signal from a 96% win-rate sports sharp, giving bettors another lens on how informed traders are positioning.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- New profitable wallet cluster
High-scoring Phillies cluster with three wallets buying the same side during a 52.8x pre-game volume spike, led by a very new repeat-flagged wallet already up $11.9k.
$15,103Score: 12.3 - 96% winner buys Under
Elite tracked bettor with a 96% win rate and +$579k P&L bought $20.6k of Under in an MLB totals market.
$20,565Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.0 - 96% win-rate sports sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate bought the Mets at 40¢ despite the market favoring Philadelphia.
$1,116Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.0 - Elite 85% winner backs Mets
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% long-term win rate and $7.9M profit bought Mets despite the market moving against them since entry.
$4,234Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.2 - 83% win-rate MLB sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with an 83% long-run win rate bought Mets, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$2,320Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0 - 79% sports sharp buying Phillies
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Phillies at 61¢, supported by a long serial cross-market betting history.
$1,525Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - New wallet 9-0 streak
A 1-day-old wallet with a perfect 9-0 resolved record and $11.9k profit is making another sizable Phillies bet.
$5,443Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - New profitable sports wallet
Very new wallet with repeat sizeable sports bets is already profitable and adding another $1.1k position on the Phillies.
$1,085Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5 - Profitable volume trader
A very high-volume profitable trader bought Under at 50¢ before it moved to 63¢, but the copy window is likely already stretched.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.0 - 88% sharp buys Under
Highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and $3.3M lifetime profit bought $4.6k of Under at 50¢.
$4,639Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5b4ec9…0232$20,565 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x8e888f…b235$5,443 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$4,639 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x13414a…0853$4,234 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xa97482…ef79$2,320 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x93a0f2…6623$1,525 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xb56db5…d621$1,244 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xd81e5b…e3d0$1,116 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x99db00…97ea$1,085 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Phillies vs. Mets prediction market odds?
The odds on this event reflect the market-implied chance that either the Philadelphia Phillies or New York Mets wins the game. Prices can move as traders react to lineup news, pitching changes, injuries, and smart money activity.
Is there smart money betting on Phillies vs. Mets?
Yes. PolySpotter is tracking $1,116 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent alert tied to a 96% win-rate sports sharp.
How does this Phillies vs. Mets Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to Philadelphia Phillies if the Phillies win and to New York Mets if the Mets win. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When is the Phillies vs. Mets game?
The game is scheduled for June 28 at 1:40 PM ET, with the prediction market expected to resolve after the final result is known.
Why watch smart money for this MLB matchup?
Smart money signals can highlight where experienced or historically successful traders are placing capital. For Phillies vs. Mets, the notable signal from a high win-rate sports sharp may be useful context alongside the live odds.