Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
11 signals across 4 markets · $177,248 tracked · resolves May 14, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the May 7 MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks, including both the game winner market and the Over/Under 9.5 total. PolySpotter has tracked $15,239 in smart money signals across the event, with recent alerts highlighting sharp interest on the Pirates and Under.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster drove 30-point move
High-conviction MLB flow: four wallets bought $118k of Pirates, including sharp profitable bettors, driving a major price move with a 103x volume spike.
$117,864Score: 19.1 - Profitable bettor buying dip
High-scoring alert from a highly profitable serial sports bettor plus 8-wallet same-side flow, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.
$8,499Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 11.6 - Profitable bettor joins 8-wallet flow
Strong coordinated Arizona flow from 8 wallets plus a profitable serial cross-market bettor, though the price has moved sharply against the original 51¢ entry.
$3,803Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 11.2 - Profitable bettor joins volume spike
Profitable repeat-flagged bettor put $8.1k on Over after a major pre-game volume spike, while same-event flow shows 8 wallets also buying Arizona.
$9,559Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 9.2 - 85% winner backing Under
Proven sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $524k profit made a sizable Under bet in a relatively small MLB total market.
$5,793Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor put $9.3k on Arizona in a broader $25.7k same-game position, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
$9,284Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 7.0 - New profitable MLB bettor
Very new wallet is already profitable and scaling into an MLB side, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,470Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor put $12k on Pittsburgh at 66¢ before a sharp move to 88¢ amid a 19x volume spike.
$12,000Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 4.3 - Sharp MLB bettor buying Pirates
A profitable sports bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and strong edge is buying Pittsburgh at roughly even odds.
$1,960Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 4.0 - 73% winner buying spread
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 73% resolved win rate bought Pirates -1.5 at 63¢ before the market moved to 69¢.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6498f9…8910$18,843 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x9a8c93…ba13$12,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$8,499 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xefddbb…017f$6,015 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$5,793 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xbca08c…9705$3,803 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x3dfb15…abaf$1,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x7d4bf6…198f$1,470 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xf405d5…9df2$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs Diamondbacks prediction market odds?
This event includes markets for the outright winner, Pittsburgh Pirates or Arizona Diamondbacks, plus a total runs market at Over/Under 9.5. Live odds can move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and betting activity.
What is smart money betting on in Pirates vs Diamondbacks?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable smart money activity on the Pirates, including a sharp MLB bettor buying Pirates and a 95% winner backing Pirates. There has also been strong interest in the Under, including an alert showing 85% winner backing Under.
Is there an Over/Under market for Pirates vs Diamondbacks?
Yes. In addition to the moneyline-style winner market, this event includes a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 9.5 market, where traders are pricing whether the game total will finish over or under 9.5 runs.
When does the Pirates vs Diamondbacks Polymarket resolve?
The market is scheduled around the May 7 game at 3:40 PM ET and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.