Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians
5 signals across 2 markets · $111,541 tracked · resolves Jul 25, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cleveland Guardians, with traders pricing which team will win. PolySpotter has identified $21,288 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent 5-wallet flow toward the Pirates.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Cleveland surge
Four wallets committed nearly $29,000 to Cleveland, including substantial fresh buying, while the opposing Pirates position was exited before a sharp repricing to Cleveland at 100%.
$29,240Score: 7.5 - 95% winner scales into Pirates
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.62M P&L is adding $44,365 to an existing Pirates position amid a 100x volume spike.
$44,365Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.9 - 97% win-rate bettor adds to Pirates
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $6,651 to an existing Pirates position at even odds.
$6,651Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.8 - 5-wallet Pirates flow
Five wallets, including several high-volume profitable bettors, bought $21k of Pirates shares around 48–49¢, adding one-sided pressure despite a liquid market.
$21,288Score: 5.2 - Whale adds to Pirates spread
A $10,000 add-on purchase representing 73% of 24-hour volume drove a sharp 43-point breakout, though the wallet's broad track record is only modestly predictive.
$9,996Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 3.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcd30f4…f316$44,365 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x526852…135d$9,996 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0xa08455…bb99$6,651 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs Guardians odds on Polymarket?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that either the Pittsburgh Pirates or Cleveland Guardians win the game. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see whether sharp wallets are leaning toward either side.
What is the smart money doing in Pirates vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $21,288 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert showing 5-wallet flow on the Pirates side. That suggests multiple tracked wallets have shown interest in Pittsburgh, though odds can move quickly before and during the game.
When does the Pirates vs Guardians market resolve?
The market resolves after the MLB game is completed, based on the official winner. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
How does this Pirates vs Guardians prediction market work?
Traders buy and sell shares tied to the game outcome. The market resolves to Pittsburgh Pirates if the Pirates win and to Cleveland Guardians if the Guardians win.