Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians
7 signals across 2 markets · $87,302 tracked · resolves Jul 26, 2026
Follow the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction market for the July 19 MLB matchup. The event tracks the traded win probabilities for both teams, with $3,525 in smart money and one signal from a 91% win-rate serial bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettors averaging into Pittsburgh
Five substantial bettors, including multiple highly profitable traders, added $56.5K to Pittsburgh despite a sharp price drop, creating a notable contrarian consensus.
$56,507Score: 8.6 - Two elite bettors back Cleveland
Three wallets bought Cleveland at 47-48 cents, including two highly profitable bettors with 91% and 93% win rates and a 57x volume spike.
$10,248Score: 6.9 - 91% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $3,525 position on Cleveland at 47%.
$3,525Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - 93% win-rate sharp backs Cleveland
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $1.9M profit made a fresh $5,123 purchase of Cleveland at 48%.
$5,123Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 83% win-rate serial bettor backs Cleveland
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate is taking a fresh $3,000 position on Cleveland at 52%.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.4 - 99% win-rate serial bettor
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and 1,417 resolved positions is buying Cleveland at 52% in a liquid MLB market.
$3,900Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - 94% winner adds to Under
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $5,000 to an Under position.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16bb99…8492$5,123 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x823988…d9a3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$3,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$3,525 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xd3faf1…a26c$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs. Guardians Polymarket odds?
The event tracks separate outcome prices for a Pittsburgh Pirates win and a Cleveland Guardians win. Check the live PolySpotter page for the latest market odds and probability changes.
What is smart money doing in the Pirates vs. Guardians market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,525 in smart money across this event and one signal from a serial bettor with a reported 91% win rate.
When does the Pirates vs. Guardians prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the July 19 game is completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is played; a canceled game with no makeup or a tie resolves 50-50.
What outcomes are traded for Pirates vs. Guardians?
The event covers the two game outcomes: a Pittsburgh Pirates win or a Cleveland Guardians win.