Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
14 signals across 4 markets · $72,267 tracked · resolves Jul 8, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies, with traders pricing the chances of either team winning the MLB matchup. PolySpotter has flagged $5,800 in smart-money activity across the event, including a recent signal from an 81% serial sports bettor.

Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 75% winner in Pirates cluster
A three-wallet cluster is buying the Pirates, led by a profitable 75% winner and a serial cross-market trader, despite the market being fairly liquid.
$10,931Score: 11.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $80.5k profit bought Under 8.5, continuing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
$1,467Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.5 - 76% serial sports winner
Sharp sports wallet with a 76% resolved win rate and +$80.5K P&L is adding to Under on this MLB total.
$2,865Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 9.2 - 88% winning sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $133k profit is buying Phillies despite this being a liquid MLB market.
$1,175Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0 - 97% win-rate MLB bettor
Elite sports wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Over despite the market moving lower afterward.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 9.0 - 99% win-rate sports sharp
Elite 99% winning sports wallet bought $8.2k of Phillies -1.5, with serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike supporting the signal.
$8,200Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 9.0 - 82% win sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 82% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $6.8k of Phillies -1.5 at 40¢.
$6,753Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.0 - Sharp joins Phillies cluster
Surface because a highly profitable 88% winner joined a $19.1k three-wallet one-sided Phillies buy cluster amid a major pre-game volume spike.
$19,100Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $80.5k profit bought Under 8.5, continuing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
$1,337Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 7.0 - 76% serial sports winner
Sharp sports wallet with a 76% resolved win rate and +$80.5K P&L is adding to Under on this MLB total.
$2,736Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 7.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x04e684…3914$8,406 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 76% wins
- 0x8b887c…8f33$8,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x55a1f5…db28$6,753 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$5,868 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0xde496f…fe85$5,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xacf838…e791$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x1d1699…212e$2,209 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs. Phillies odds on Polymarket?
The odds are set by live trading in the prediction market and move as bettors buy and sell positions on the Pirates or Phillies to win. PolySpotter tracks those market-implied probabilities alongside smart-money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Pirates vs. Phillies?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,800 in smart-money activity for this event, with one recent alert highlighting an 81% serial sports bettor. That signal can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are positioning before the game.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
This event covers the game winner: Pittsburgh Pirates or Philadelphia Phillies. The market resolves based on which team wins the completed MLB game.
When does the Pirates vs. Phillies market resolve?
The game is scheduled for July 1 at 6:40 PM ET. If it is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.