Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
28 signals across 2 markets · $131,088 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants, with traders pricing which team will win. PolySpotter has flagged $5,000 in smart money activity so far, including an elite sports sharp buying the Pirates, making this a useful page to watch for market sentiment before first pitch.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- One-sided Giants surge
Seven wallets pushed $22.6k toward the Giants amid a major pre-game volume spike, including very high-volume serial sports traders, though the market has since snapped back to 50/50.
$22,560Score: 20.9 - New whale joins Giants flow
A brand-new repeat whale is part of an 8-wallet one-sided move into San Francisco, with a large sell of Pittsburgh equivalent to buying Giants at 15¢ before the market moved sharply.
$1,020Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 15.4 - Profitable whale joins cluster
Five wallets bought $16.4k of Pirates during a volatile MLB market, led by a highly profitable bettor up $7.6M lifetime and heavy one-sided flow despite the price later collapsing.
$16,419Score: 14.1 - Elite sports sharp buying Pirates
Elite 91% winning bettor with large lifetime profits and heavy cross-market history bought $5k of Pittsburgh, with linked-wallet context adding confidence.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 14.0 - $2.8M profit serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Pirates into a sharp dip, with supporting pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement.
$2,890Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 13.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active profitable sports bettor joined one-sided Giants flow during a major pre-game move, effectively buying San Francisco at 51¢.
$2,945Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 12.9 - Elite sports sharp buying favorite
Proven high-volume sports trader with 73% win rate and $7.6M profit bought $11.8K of Pirates amid a major pre-game volume spike and sharp price move.
$11,787Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 12.5 - 14-wallet Giants cluster
A 14-wallet funded cluster is pushing the Giants with notable volume spike and immediate price move, despite this wallet's only modest win rate.
$4,315Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 11.4 - Sharp bettor with Pirates flow
Sharp 83% winning wallet is effectively buying Pittsburgh alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
$1,025Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 9.6 - Profitable sports regular
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought nearly $10k of Giants, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry from 86% to 60%.
$9,999Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 7.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbca08c…9705$19,999 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$11,787 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$11,303 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x9a8c93…ba13$9,212 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 60% wins
- 0xa71093…23c4$7,486 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x5234c8…4c4f$4,315 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xc9e120…abbc$3,166 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x88c491…129a$3,144 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xf1528f…64aa$2,945 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs. Giants prediction market odds?
The odds come from Polymarket trading on whether the Pittsburgh Pirates or San Francisco Giants will win the game. As traders buy and sell each side, the market price reflects the crowd’s implied probability for each outcome.
What is the smart money doing on Pirates vs. Giants?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity on this event, with a recent alert showing an elite sports sharp buying the Pirates. That suggests at least one tracked sharp bettor sees value on Pittsburgh at the current market price.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The event resolves to Pittsburgh Pirates if the Pirates win, or San Francisco Giants if the Giants win. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When is Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants scheduled?
The game is scheduled for May 10 at 4:05 PM ET. The market is expected to resolve after the game is completed, with the listed resolution deadline allowing for postponements or scheduling changes.
Can smart money signals predict the winner?
Smart money signals are not guarantees, but they can highlight where experienced or historically successful traders are taking positions. For Pirates vs. Giants, the notable signal so far is sharp buying on the Pirates.