Event

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

7 signals across 2 markets · $162,996 tracked · resolves Sep 5, 2026

Follow the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction market for the upcoming MLB game. The market trades the two possible winners, with PolySpotter tracking $21,903 in smart money and a recent veteran-trader buy on the Pirates during a volume spike.

PIT
6
66-71
Final
STL
2
68-69
PIT +114STL -123O/U 8
Venue
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Attendance
26,265

Markets (2)

  1. Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals6 signals · $111,949 tracked
  2. Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.51 signal · $51,048 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp bettors backed the Pirates

    A six-wallet Pirates cluster included two highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-term records, though the market has already moved to 100% and conflicting signals reduce its copyability.

    $41,610Score: 8.7
  2. Elite sports bettor bought Pirates early

    An exceptionally proven sports bettor with a 95% win rate and 35-point edge bought Pittsburgh at 76%, ahead of a sharp move to 90%.

    $2,855Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.6
  3. 94% winner adds to Cardinals

    A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and 538 resolved positions is adding $32,400 to an existing Cardinals position at 54%.

    $32,400Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.7
  4. Sharp bettor scaled into Pirates

    A highly profitable serial bettor added to an existing Pirates position at 73% before the market surged to 90%, though the simultaneous sale appears to be routine profit-taking.

    $3,181Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.6
  5. Elite bettor backs Cardinals

    A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $4.15M profit made a concentrated $10,000 Cardinals purchase despite the market now pricing them at only 40%.

    $10,000Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.4
  6. Three-wallet Over syndicate

    Three established, highly profitable sports bettors collectively committed $51,000 to Over at 46 cents, creating a meaningful coordinated directional signal despite limited track-record edge data.

    $51,048Score: 4.9
  7. Veteran trader buys Pirates on volume spike

    A highly experienced serial trader placed a concentrated $21.9K bet on Pittsburgh amid an extreme volume spike, though the wallet's overall edge is modest.

    $21,903Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x16bb998492$32,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  2. 0x2c33500563$21,903 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  3. 0xd38ad28d26$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  4. 0xe07744f5ee$3,181 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  5. 0x161a7f4103$2,855 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Pirates vs. Cardinals prediction-market odds?

The live odds reflect the market’s estimated probability of a Pittsburgh Pirates or St. Louis Cardinals win. Check the event page for current Polymarket prices, which can change as trading activity and new information emerge.

What is the smart money doing in the Pirates vs. Cardinals market?

PolySpotter tracks $21,903 in smart money across this event. The latest alert reports that a veteran trader bought Pirates contracts during a volume spike.

What outcomes are traded in this event?

This event covers the game winner: Pittsburgh Pirates or St. Louis Cardinals. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.

When does the Pirates vs. Cardinals prediction market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the completed game is played; the listed resolution deadline is September 5, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET.