San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
9 signals across 3 markets · $77,380 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
Follow Polymarket odds for the San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game on August 3 at 9:40 PM ET. The event tracks both possible winners, with PolySpotter reporting that 93% of a recent winner-focused alert added to the Padres position and $29,632 in smart money tracked overall.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads $73K Arizona push
A proven 95%-win-rate bettor and two other wallets are adding roughly $73,000 to Arizona at even odds during a major volume spike.
$7,798Score: 7.3 - 93% winner adds to Padres position
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 42-point edge is adding $29.6K to an existing Padres position at 48¢ in a thin market.
$29,632Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.9 - 93% winner adds to Padres position
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 42-point edge is adding $29.6K to an existing Padres position at 48¢ in a thin market.
$12,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.7 - Three-wallet Padres accumulation
A substantial three-wallet accumulation and extreme volume spike make this notable, although the wallets lack a strong collective track record and were adding to existing Padres positions.
$8,181Score: 5.6 - 94% winner scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Over position at 54 cents.
$2,065Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor scaling into Arizona
A proven 87% bettor added to an Arizona position amid a 517x volume spike and coordinated buying by three wallets.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.6 - Three-wallet Under cluster
Three wallets concentrated $5.1K on Under, including one 18-for-18 bettor, with an 18-point price move supporting the thesis.
$5,118Score: 5.4 - Three-wallet Under surge
Three wallets deployed $10.2K on Under, including two profitable high-volume bettors adding to existing positions as Under rose from roughly 50% to 64%.
$10,242Score: 5.2 - Sharp bettor scaling into Arizona
A proven high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial measured edge is adding to an existing Arizona position at even-money odds.
$1,144Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16bb99…8492$41,632 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x7e8629…cb8f$2,065 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xec958f…a2dc$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x418d51…88a3$1,144 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the Padres vs. Diamondbacks prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of a Padres win or Diamondbacks win and can change as traders react to new information. Check the live event page for current prices.
What is smart money doing in the Padres vs. Diamondbacks market?
PolySpotter tracked $29,632 in smart money across the event. A recent alert reported that 93% of winner-focused additions went toward a Padres position.
What outcomes are traded for Padres vs. Diamondbacks?
This event covers the two game-winner outcomes: San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks. If the game is canceled without a makeup, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 under its rules.
When does the Padres vs. Diamondbacks prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the August 3 game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the game is played; the listed resolution deadline is August 11, 2026.