Event

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

7 signals across 3 markets · $42,344 tracked · resolves Aug 22, 2026

Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game on August 15 at 7:10 PM ET. The event tracks the two possible winners, with PolySpotter monitoring live odds and smart money activity, including a signal from a 93% win-rate serial sharp.

SD
1
66-58
Final
CLE
6
60-64
SD -101CLE -106O/U 8.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
35,153

Markets (3)

  1. San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians5 signals · $36,569 tracked
  2. San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.51 signal · $4,275 tracked
  3. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians1 signal · $1,500 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 97% win-rate bettor adds to Guardians

    An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and $91,884 in P&L is adding to a Guardians position while also backing the game total.

    $4,078Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.9
  2. 97% win-rate bettor adds to Over

    A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $4,275 to Over despite already holding the outcome.

    $4,275Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.6
  3. 93% win-rate serial sharp

    A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,561 bet on San Diego at 47 cents.

    $1,561Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
  4. 97% win-rate bettor adds to Cleveland

    A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Cleveland position at 65 cents.

    $1,192Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.4
  5. 99% win-rate sharp backs Cleveland

    A highly proven serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge bought Cleveland at 44%, making this a compelling sharp-bettor signal despite slight adverse movement.

    $3,300Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4
  6. Profitable serial bettor backs San Diego

    A highly experienced bettor with 606 resolved trades, a 67% win rate, and $5.5M profit is making a sizable new bet on San Diego at near-even odds.

    $26,439Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.0
  7. 93% winner buys No

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate made a fresh, oversized No bet in a thin first-inning market.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 1.2

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc80756c12b$26,439 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
  2. 0x6a038592d3$9,544 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 97% wins
  3. 0xc3c3b3eec8$3,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  4. 0x16bb998492$1,561 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  5. 0xc0df195974$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Padres vs. Guardians prediction market odds?

The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of a San Diego Padres or Cleveland Guardians win. Odds can change as traders react to news, lineups, and betting activity.

What is the San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians Polymarket market?

It is a prediction market on the winner of the upcoming MLB game. The market resolves to the Padres or Guardians based on the game result.

What is smart money betting on in this game?

PolySpotter tracks $1,561 in smart money across this event and has recorded one smart money signal, including activity from a serial sharp with a reported 93% win rate.

When does the Padres vs. Guardians market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed, with a listed resolution deadline of August 22, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC. If the game is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.