San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
15 signals across 2 markets · $443,426 tracked · resolves Apr 13, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, including the game winner and the Over/Under 8.5 total. PolySpotter has tracked $443,426 in smart money across 15 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp interest on both the Over and Under.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster on Over
Three wallets piled into Over for $11.5k at 49-50¢, led by two exceptionally accurate sports-style traders with 96-98% win rates and nearly $1.16M combined profit.
$11,543Score: 12.1 - Profitable new wallet fires big
A 4-day-old wallet with early profits and perfect resolved record just put nearly $99k into Under in three quick buys, a rare size for a sports total at roughly even odds.
$98,541Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.9 - Profitable new whale on Under
A 4-day-old wallet with early six-figure profits just put $59k into the Under at 51¢, accounting for more than the market’s full 24h volume and signaling unusually strong conviction.
$59,121Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 8.2 - 98% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate and nearly $951k profit bought Over at 49¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
$4,753Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.0 - New whale with early edge
A 4-day-old wallet with $246k profit and 146 prior large-bet flags just placed another $39k wager, suggesting a highly active new bettor worth tracking despite the liquid market.
$39,420Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0 - Hot new wallet on a run
A 4-day-old wallet with $246k profit and heavy repeat large betting just put nearly $10k on Under 8.5, suggesting an aggressive new bettor worth tracking despite the limited resolved sample.
$9,855Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new whale
A 4-day-old wallet with unusually high early profits and 158 prior large-bet flags just put nearly $30k into Under, suggesting a new high-conviction bettor worth tracking despite the liquid market.
$29,554Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new whale
A 4-day-old wallet with early six-figure profits and 158 prior large-bet flags just put nearly $20k into Under, suggesting this is a high-conviction new sharp rather than routine flow.
$19,699Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0 - New whale with early edge
A 4-day-old wallet with $246k profit and heavy repeat large-bet activity just put $59k on Under, a sizable fresh wager from a new account already showing unusual early success.
$59,148Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0 - New hot-hand whale
A 4-day-old wallet with unusually large repeat bets and early six-figure profits just put $29k on Under, suggesting this new bettor may have a real edge despite the liquid market.
$29,418Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x63a51c…8e33$425,589 · 1 market · 12 alerts · 87% wins
- 0xc97485…b33b$4,753 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xdcc9d6…4534$1,542 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What markets are available for Padres vs. Pirates?
This event includes markets on which team wins the game, San Diego Padres or Pittsburgh Pirates, plus a total runs market on Over/Under 8.5.
What is the smart money doing on Padres vs. Pirates?
PolySpotter has tracked $443,426 in smart money across 15 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a sharp cluster on the Over, a profitable new whale on the Under, and activity from a 98% win-rate sharp bettor.
Are bettors leaning Over or Under 8.5?
The latest smart-money alerts are mixed. There has been notable sharp activity on the Over, but also a profitable new whale taking the Under, making the total runs market one of the key spots to watch.
When does the Padres vs. Pirates market resolve?
The market resolves after the MLB game is completed. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
Where can I track Padres vs. Pirates Polymarket odds?
You can use this PolySpotter event page to follow the Padres vs. Pirates prediction market, including live odds, smart-money signals, and movement across both the winner and total runs markets.