St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
9 signals across 3 markets · $188,192 tracked · resolves May 7, 2026
The St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Polymarket event tracks the game winner, Pirates -1.5 spread, and over/under 7.5 total. PolySpotter has flagged $188,192 in smart money across 9 signals, including sharp wallet activity around the Pirates, the favorite, and underdog positions.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets steamed favorite
High-score one-sided Cardinals cluster with major price impact, led by two profitable sports wallets including a 91% winner up $2.1M, though the move has already run from ~64¢ to 86¢.
$9,350Score: 13.7 - Six-wallet Pirates steam
Large one-sided Pirates flow from 6 wallets totaling $159k, backed by a 184x pre-event volume spike and several profitable high-volume sports bettors.
$158,970Score: 11.8 - 85% win-rate sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and large cross-market history bought Pirates -1.5 during a major pre-game volume spike.
$1,923Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 10.2 - 97% sharp buying Pirates
Elite 97% winning wallet with major lifetime profit is buying the Pirates, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.
$4,236Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.0 - 97% sharp buying underdog
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate is buying the Cardinals at 35¢ despite them being the underdog.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.0 - 90% sports sharp on Over
A proven 90% winner with strong profit and serial sports-market success bought Over at 46¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
$1,150Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - New profitable sports bettor
New 2-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat flagged bets is buying the Cardinals at 34¢, though the stake is modest in a liquid MLB market.
$1,175Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 71% resolved win rate is backing Pittsburgh at 65¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market.
$1,072Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market track record is taking a $7.3k underdog position on the Cardinals at 35¢.
$7,316Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd48a81…6e90$7,316 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x0767aa…36b0$4,236 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x36257c…1187$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$1,923 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x2f0bec…5577$1,175 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$1,150 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x81f050…cbb1$1,072 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Cardinals vs Pirates odds on Polymarket?
This event includes Polymarket odds for the Cardinals vs. Pirates moneyline, the Pirates -1.5 spread, and the over/under 7.5 runs total. Odds can move as traders react to lineup news, pitching updates, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Cardinals vs Pirates?
PolySpotter has tracked $188,192 in smart money across 9 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a six-wallet Pirates steam, a 97% sharp buying Pirates, and an 85% win-rate sports sharp signal.
Are sharp bettors backing the Pirates or Cardinals?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable sharp activity tied to the Pirates, including multiple-wallet steam and a 97% sharp buying Pirates headline. There was also a 97% sharp buying underdog alert, so it is worth checking the live market view for the latest side-specific positioning.
What markets are included in this Cardinals vs Pirates event?
The event hub covers three related markets: the outright game winner, the Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 run line, and the over/under 7.5 total runs market.
When does the Cardinals vs Pirates market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the April 30 MLB game and resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.