St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
9 signals across 2 markets · $90,951 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres on May 10. Traders are pricing the head-to-head outcome, with PolySpotter flagging $5,000 in smart money activity from a profitable serial sports trader.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying underdog
Five wallets put $17K on the Cardinals side during a sharp move, including one bettor with an 83% record and extensive cross-market sports history, though several wallets have poor long-term P&L and the price has since moved against them.
$16,976Score: 16.6 - One-sided Padres pregame flow
Four wallets put $38K on the Padres during a massive pre-game volume spike, though wallet quality is mixed and one large participant has heavy lifetime losses.
$38,347Score: 9.8 - 87% sports sharp
Proven sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Over 8.5 at 48¢.
$3,490Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 89% sports sharp on Over
Sharp MLB bettor with an 89% documented win rate and strong cross-market history made a large Over bet that dwarfs recent market volume.
$19,200Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 8.0 - 96% sports totals sharp
Elite MLB totals bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Over 8.5 at 48¢.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Experienced cross-market sports bettor with a long profitable record bought Padres after a sharp intrawindow price move, making this a moderate copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.
$2,217Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 5.5 - Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active, profitable cross-market sports trader bought Cardinals during a large pre-game volume spike, though the individual bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,448Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial sports trader
Serial cross-market sports trader with a long profitable record bought $5k of Cardinals at 46¢, though the signal is moderate and market is liquid.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.0 - Profitable bettor chasing steam
A profitable sports bettor bought into a sharp, rapid Cardinals move, with the market jumping from the mid-40s to about 80% on heavy 24h volume.
$2,673Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 2.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3dfb15…abaf$19,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$3,490 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x13e1e9…7e55$2,673 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xc18194…6e97$2,217 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x78b009…9f1a$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$1,448 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
FAQs
What are the Cardinals vs Padres prediction market odds?
The market prices the chance of either the St. Louis Cardinals or San Diego Padres winning the game. Odds can move as traders react to lineup news, pitching changes, injuries, and betting activity.
What smart money is betting on Cardinals vs Padres?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports trader. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it highlights where experienced market participants are active.
How does the Cardinals vs Padres Polymarket event resolve?
The event resolves to the team that wins the completed MLB game. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When is the St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres game?
The game is scheduled for May 10 at 4:10 PM ET. The market is expected to resolve after the official game result is final, subject to postponement or cancellation rules.
Why follow this Cardinals vs Padres market on PolySpotter?
PolySpotter helps surface smart money signals behind the headline odds, so you can see not just the market price but also whether notable traders are taking positions on the matchup.