Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
11 signals across 3 markets · $148,427 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game, including the moneyline winner market and alternative run total markets at 7.5 and 8.5. PolySpotter has tracked $148,427 in smart-money activity across 11 signals, with recent alerts pointing to a sharp-led Guardians cluster and repeat whale interest.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp-led Guardians cluster
Three wallets piled into Cleveland as the market violently repriced, and one of them is a proven profitable bettor with a 78% win rate and strong edge.
$8,260Score: 16.6 - Sharp bettor in 3-wallet surge
A proven sharp wallet with a 93% win rate joined two other wallets to buy Cleveland as the price ripped higher, creating a notable coordinated move worth tracking despite the mixed quality of the other wallets.
$9,055Score: 16.4 - 93% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Cleveland at 23¢ just before a sharp move to 42¢, suggesting a strong edge and excellent entry.
$2,247Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 10.5 - Profitable new whale repeats
A 7-day-old wallet with nearly $550k in repeatedly flagged size and early profit just put $27k on Cleveland during a huge pregame volume surge, making this a notable conviction bet despite limited resolved history.
$27,078Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 8.9 - Profitable new wallet whale
A 7-day-old wallet with unusually heavy repeat betting and early profits put $21.8k on Cleveland, suggesting real conviction despite limited resolved history.
$21,830Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 8.8 - New whale pressing Cleveland
A 7-day-old wallet with $543k in recent flagged action and early profit dropped $43k on Cleveland into a major pregame volume spike, signaling repeat high-conviction behavior worth watching.
$43,381Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 8.8 - 91% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $1M in profit bought Under at 45¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,061Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 8.0 - 85% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.85M in realized profit bought Cleveland at 56¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.
$6,272Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 8.0 - 93% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Cleveland at 62¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already moving slightly against their entry.
$6,504Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - New whale with early profits
A 7-day-old wallet has already deployed over $543k across 27 flagged bets and is up $39k, making this fresh $21.6k buy on Cleveland worth tracking despite the routine sports market.
$21,552Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9714ab…76ad$113,841 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 67% wins
- 0xba8179…dc35$8,751 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x1d1ade…0df6$6,272 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x462d51…ce9b$1,187 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x987069…b9d3$1,061 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
FAQs
What markets are included for Rays vs. Guardians?
This event hub covers the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians winner market, plus over/under run total markets at 7.5 and 8.5. That means traders are pricing both who wins and how high-scoring the game may be.
What is the smart money doing on Rays vs. Guardians?
Recent PolySpotter alerts highlight a sharp-led Guardians cluster, a 3-wallet surge from sharp bettors, and activity from high-performing sports accounts. In total, $148,427 in smart-money volume has been tracked across the event.
Are whale bettors active in this prediction market?
Yes. Recent alerts mention a profitable new whale repeating activity and another profitable new wallet whale entering the market, suggesting larger bettors are participating across the Rays-Guardians event.
When does the Rays vs. Guardians market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the April 27 MLB game and is expected to resolve after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the makeup game is finished; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
How can I use the Rays vs. Guardians Polymarket odds?
Prediction-market odds reflect where traders are putting real money on outcomes such as the game winner and run totals. PolySpotter adds context by showing whether sharp wallets, profitable bettors, or whales are driving recent moves.