Event

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

13 signals across 4 markets · $181,819 tracked · resolves Oct 25, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, with the market trading on which team wins. PolySpotter has detected one signal from a profitable cross-market whale, with $1,125 in smart money tracked across the event.

TB
7
98-64
Final
CLE
3
85-77
TB -108CLE -104O/U 6.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
33,355

Markets (4)

  1. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.54 signals · $114,664 tracked
  2. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians6 signals · $57,474 tracked
  3. Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)2 signals · $8,682 tracked
  4. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians1 signal · $1,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Three-wallet Guardians accumulation

    Three wallets added $35,800 to Cleveland positions amid a 111.7x volume spike, providing a notable coordinated directional signal despite the wallets already holding substantial positions.

    $35,800Score: 7.5
  2. Proven sharp in three-wallet Rays flow

    A highly profitable bettor with a substantial long-term edge bought Tampa Bay as two other wallets joined the same side amid a major volume spike.

    $5,853Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 7.1
  3. Three-wallet Guardians push

    Three wallets put about $7,200 behind Cleveland, a sizable aligned position relative to the market’s $9,164 in 24-hour volume, though the track-record signals are not uniformly strong.

    $7,204Score: 6.8
  4. Four-wallet Over cluster with serial-trader backing

    Four wallets bought $7,812 of Over, including a serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate, while the market price had recently fallen.

    $7,812Score: 6.7
  5. Proven sharps backing Under together

    Four wallets put $23,525 on Under during a 66x volume spike, including two bettors with exceptional records and strong historical returns.

    $24,093Score: 6.5
  6. 96% winner buys Rays at 36¢

    A highly profitable bettor with 425 wins from 444 resolved positions bought Tampa Bay at 36¢, ahead of a 17-point price rise.

    $1,478Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.1
  7. 95% winner backs No

    A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate bought No at 63¢, making this a strong track-record-backed position.

    $1,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.7
  8. Recurring cross-market bettor

    A recurring bettor has placed $33.8K across three markets in this game, though their overall record does not show a clear edge.

    $2,758Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 5.6
  9. Three-wallet Rays buying cluster

    A three-wallet Tampa Bay Rays buying cluster coincides with a 111.7x pre-event volume spike, and this profitable veteran trader is adding to an existing position.

    $8,102Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 5.5
  10. 92% winner taking the Rays

    A proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is selling Cleveland, which converts to a Rays buy.

    $1,223Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x8a8685…4998$80,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
  2. 0xfc0847…a137$8,102 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  3. 0x27f738…44b0$5,853 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
  4. 0x20d643…3856$2,758 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
  5. 0xd81e5b…e3d0$1,478 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  6. 0xd47dda…322b$1,223 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  7. 0x2a6966…d2f7$1,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
  8. 0x28ea3e…1fbe$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Rays vs. Guardians prediction-market odds?

The market prices the chances of a Tampa Bay Rays win versus a Cleveland Guardians win. Check the live event page for current odds, which can change as traders buy and sell.

What is smart money doing in this event?

PolySpotter reports one signal from a profitable serial cross-market whale. The event has $1,125 in smart money tracked; this signal does not guarantee an outcome.

What outcomes are traded?

The event has one child market: Tampa Bay Rays versus Cleveland Guardians. It resolves to the winning team; if the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.

When does the Rays vs. Guardians market resolve?

The game is scheduled for October 17 at 8:00 p.m. ET. If postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; the listed resolution deadline is October 25, 2026.