PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles

11 signals across 4 markets · $43,574 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks betting interest around Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles, including the game total market at over/under 9.5 runs. PolySpotter has flagged $1,500 in smart money activity, including a signal from a sports bettor with an 87% win rate, giving traders a quick view of how sharper accounts are approaching the matchup.

WSH
4
42-42
Final
BAL
3
39-45
WSH -101BAL -120O/U 9
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
29,616

Markets (4)

  1. Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles8 signals · $33,483 tracked
  2. Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)1 signal · $7,404 tracked
  3. Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.51 signal · $1,500 tracked
  4. Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.51 signal · $1,187 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp-led Nationals surge

    High-scoring one-sided Nationals flow includes a sharp 93% winner with strong profits and coincides with a major pre-game price surge.

    $13,914Score: 13.6
  2. 99% winner buying Nationals

    Elite sharp wallet with a 99% historical win rate and $852k profit bought Washington Nationals at 45¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

    $6,750Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 12.3
  3. Elite 89% sports bettor

    Elite profitable sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate bought Baltimore at 50¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.

    $2,436Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 11.3
  4. Million-profit MLB sharp

    Surfaced because this is a highly proven sharp wallet with a 94% win rate and over $1M profit, despite the market moving against its Nationals entry.

    $1,045Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.3
  5. 93% winner nailed move

    Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved-bet record bought Washington at 57¢ before a major volume spike and move to 100¢.

    $2,900Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.1
  6. Profitable serial sports bettor

    A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate bought Baltimore amid a major volume spike and fast price move, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

    $1,992Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 8.6
  7. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Washington at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, alongside a sharp volume spike and rapid price move.

    $2,124Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.1
  8. 87% winning sports bettor

    Sharp sports bettor with an 87% record and strong cross-market history bought Under 9.5 for $1.5k.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.0
  9. Profitable serial sports bettor

    A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Washington despite the market moving sharply against that side afterward.

    $2,322Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 5.3
  10. Profitable repeat MLB whale

    Repeat high-volume MLB bettor with $1.4M lifetime profit drove a huge pre-game volume spike on the Orioles run line, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

    $7,404Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 4.2

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x526852…135d$7,404 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
  2. 0x8b887c…8f33$6,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  3. 0x2aafc8…b21a$2,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  4. 0xf28e42…cab2$2,436 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
  5. 0xbca08c…9705$2,322 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
  6. 0x60ec17…f7b0$2,124 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
  7. 0x9625f3…5bb7$1,992 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
  8. 0x595df4…9ad0$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
  9. 0x815fe1…1eef$1,187 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  10. 0x161a7f…4103$1,045 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Orioles beat the Nationals

FAQs

What are the Nationals vs. Orioles prediction-market odds?

This event centers on the Nationals vs. Orioles MLB matchup and currently includes an over/under 9.5 runs market. The live Polymarket price shows how traders are pricing the chance that the game total finishes above or below 9.5 runs.

What is the smart money doing on Nationals vs. Orioles?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,500 in smart money activity for this event. The notable signal comes from a sports bettor with an 87% win rate, suggesting sharper attention on the game total market.

Is this market about the winner or the total runs?

The event is for Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles, and the listed child market here is the game total: over/under 9.5 runs. That means traders are betting on the combined final score rather than only which team wins.

When does the Nationals vs. Orioles market resolve?

The game is scheduled for June 27 at 7:05 PM ET. The market resolves after the game is completed; if the game is postponed, it remains open until completion, and if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie under the listed rules, it resolves 50-50.