Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
7 signals across 3 markets · $115,707 tracked · resolves May 21, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB game, with outcomes tied to which team wins. PolySpotter has flagged $1,751 in smart money activity across the event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite MLB totals sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $802k lifetime profit made a $10.6k Under bet, larger than the market's entire 24h volume.
$10,557Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.0 - Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three serial sports bettors, including one up $6.6M lifetime, bought Nationals longshot shares together despite the market moving against them.
$3,156Score: 8.6 - New repeat whale on Over
A 19-hour-old repeat whale is making another sizable MLB total bet, with $232k previously flagged and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
$12,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.2 - Three-wallet Reds surge
Three wallets put $67k on Cincinnati in a short window, combining one-sided flow with a major pre-game volume spike despite mixed wallet track records.
$67,210Score: 8.1 - Large pre-game Under sweep
A single wallet made an $18.4k Under bet into a sharp pre-game volume spike, but its long-term record is weak and this is mainly notable as one-sided size against the current price.
$18,395Wallet win rate: 46%Score: 6.0 - 81% winner fading favorite
Sharp wallet with 81% historical win rate is effectively backing Washington by selling Cincinnati at 58¢ in a liquid MLB market.
$2,139Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with $1.31M lifetime profit is buying Washington at 41¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market.
$1,751Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x84cfff…2f63$18,395 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$12,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$10,557 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xad5837…7624$2,139 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$1,751 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the Nationals vs. Reds prediction market odds?
The odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing each team’s chance to win the game. On PolySpotter, you can monitor the live market movement and compare it with smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Nationals vs. Reds?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,751 in smart money activity for this event, including one signal tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That can help highlight where experienced traders are placing attention.
How does this Nationals vs. Reds market resolve?
The market resolves to Washington Nationals if the Nationals win, or Cincinnati Reds if the Reds win. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed.
What happens if Nationals vs. Reds is canceled or tied?
If the game is canceled with no make-up game, or if it ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 according to the event rules.