Event

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians

12 signals across 4 markets · $99,609 tracked · resolves Jun 1, 2026

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians is an MLB prediction-market event focused on how the game plays out, including spread action on Cleveland Guardians -1.5. PolySpotter tracks the market alongside smart-money activity, with $10,000 in tracked sharp flow and a recent 96% sharp sports whale signal flagged for this matchup.

WSH
10
28-27
Final
CLE
2
32-24
WSH +139CLE -169O/U 8.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
25,494

Markets (4)

  1. Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians8 signals · $68,256 tracked
  2. Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.52 signals · $19,985 tracked
  3. Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)1 signal · $10,000 tracked
  4. Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)1 signal · $1,367 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp bettors fading selloff

    Profitable high-volume sports bettors are buying Cleveland into a sharp selloff and huge pregame volume spike, though the opposite side also has notable flow.

    $27,358Score: 17.5
  2. 99% win-rate sports sharp

    Elite profitable wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and strong cross-market history bought $15k of Under in an MLB totals market.

    $15,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0
  3. Profitable serial sports bettor

    A massively profitable serial sports bettor bought Washington at 73¢ ahead of a sharp price move to 82¢, alongside a 97x volume spike and major breakout.

    $2,341Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.6
  4. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Experienced profitable sports trader bought Cleveland contrarian during a major pre-game volume spike, though the position is modest and has moved against entry.

    $2,213Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 5.6
  5. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a $26k underdog bet on Washington amid a major pre-game volume spike.

    $26,000Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 5.5
  6. Serial sports trader breakout

    A high-volume serial sports trader bought Washington before a sharp 34-point breakout, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

    $2,341Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 4.6
  7. Elite sports sharp buying Over

    A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with 71% wins and $12.5M lifetime profit bought nearly $5k of Over at 48¢.

    $4,985Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0
  8. Profitable serial sports bettor

    A highly profitable serial trader with 1,199 resolved bets and $6.6M lifetime profit bought the Guardians during a sharp volume spike, despite the position moving against them so far.

    $3,354Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 4.0
  9. Profitable serial sports trader

    A highly profitable serial sports trader with over 6,900 resolved bets bought Washington Nationals -3.5 despite the market drifting against their entry.

    $1,367Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.0
  10. Profitable serial bettor

    Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 82 resolved trades and nearly $30k lifetime profit is backing Cleveland at 62¢, though the market itself is liquid and the signal is moderate.

    $3,410Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x3dfb15abaf$26,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
  2. 0x84cb1728ad$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  3. 0xbd14b6d62a$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  4. 0xfe787d0319$7,326 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 63% wins
  5. 0xd3d22efe85$3,410 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  6. 0x2c33500563$3,354 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
  7. 0x86fbea03d4$2,341 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  8. 0xfecb4e19ba$2,213 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
  9. 0x32ed51f960$1,367 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
  10. 0x7becf907a8$1,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Nationals vs Guardians prediction market odds?

This event tracks Polymarket trading around Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians, including the Cleveland Guardians -1.5 spread market. The live market price reflects the crowd’s current implied probability for that outcome.

What is the main market in this Nationals vs Guardians event?

The child market listed for this event is the spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5). That means traders are pricing whether Cleveland can win by at least two runs.

Is smart money betting on Nationals vs Guardians?

PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart-money activity across this event, including one recent sharp signal described as a 96% sharp sports whale alert.

When does the Nationals vs Guardians market resolve?

The market resolves after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the make-up game is played; if canceled with no make-up or it ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.